NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	126		Excitement	6.4 [482]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): +26.9%
Toronto Raptors	124		Comeback	1.2 [378]		LVP	Richaun Holmes (SAC): -11.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.27	0.16	0.07	-0.04	13	81%	0.31	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Buddy Hield	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.00	12	81%	0.21	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.05
Tyrese Haliburton	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16	-0.02	0.15	-0.03	10	48%	0.20	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.00	0.02	9	80%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	69%	0.22	7	-0.18	7	71%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.01	0.10	-0.10	0.02	7	80%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.07
Marvin Bagley III	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Richaun Holmes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	5	100%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.04	20	59%	0.13	3	-0.08	14	71%	-0.03
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Watson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	5	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.12	-0.04	0.10	16	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	17	49%	-0.02	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	31.7	13.6	29.7	2.6	42.7	148.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +60.2%

SAC +1.7%

SAC +9.0%

TOR -17.2%

TOR -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	13.4	14.4	123.5	120.4	111.3
season	14.0	14.2		112.2	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.4		111.2	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	14.3	15.7	15.1	14.7
TOR	15.8	11.9	12.5	13.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	84	85	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-5	12	14.4	15.9	-1.48	13.5	13.3	0.19
Harrison Barnes	80	79	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-4	10	14.2	16.4	-2.22	14.2	10.8	3.39
Tyrese Haliburton	73	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.7	14.7	0.02	13.0	14.4	-1.36
De'Aaron Fox	73	74	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.40	-2	4	-6	14.8	14.4	0.40	13.8	12.6	1.18
Hassan Whiteside	41	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	1	0	16.2	13.6	2.56	13.6	13.3	0.31
Richaun Holmes	53	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	0	2	14.2	15.1	-0.88	14.3	12.3	2.01
Marvin Bagley III	42	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	14.2	15.0	-0.77	13.4	13.5	-0.07
Glenn Robinson III	11	12	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	2	-2	16.7	14.4	2.31	9.0	14.0	-5.02
Cory Joseph	53	54	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	12	-22	14.8	14.5	0.30	12.3	14.7	-2.48

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	38	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-7	12	13.9	13.2	0.77	15.4	14.2	1.21
Paul Watson	1	0	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	1	-4	0.0	13.6	-13.57	0.0	14.7	-14.67
Yuta Watanabe	52	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.42	10	-12	22	12.4	14.5	-2.01	15.3	14.0	1.35
DeAndre' Bembry	39	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.43	10	-12	22	13.0	13.7	-0.74	14.2	15.0	-0.75
Matt Thomas	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	2	-6	12.0	13.9	-1.87	15.1	14.5	0.60
Chris Boucher	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	6	-14	13.9	13.3	0.63	14.6	14.7	-0.13
Terence Davis	43	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	4	-10	13.9	13.1	0.81	14.1	15.1	-0.97
Fred VanVleet	75	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.50	9	-11	20	13.5	13.4	0.06	15.0	13.6	1.41
Aron Baynes	53	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	5	-12	13.3	13.5	-0.20	14.7	14.6	0.07
Kyle Lowry	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	3	-8	14.4	10.5	3.85	14.5	15.0	-0.49
Pascal Siakam	84	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	9	-20	13.4	13.6	-0.17	14.1	17.0	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.27,0	94.2%
IND 102, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.15,0.06,0.09,0	93.7%
WAS 110, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0	93.7%