NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	8.5 [199]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +28.7%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	2.8 [299]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (CHA): -23.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	14	71%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.16,0.06	0.00	0.07	0.01	10	55%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Edmond Sumner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	16	54%	0.09	4	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.11	0.01	-0.10	0.03	20	50%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.16	0.02	12	79%	0.34	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.02	8	95%	0.24	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.14	0.01	11	55%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	14	50%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	55%	0.10	5	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-0.00	12	42%	-0.17	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	23.4	14.7	24.1	2.4	36.4	126.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +40.7%

IND -4.1%

CHA +23.4%

IND -13.0%

CHA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	14.4	105.0	109.1	111.3
season	13.6	14.2		111.5	109.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		111.8	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	14.4	14.8	14.6	14.6
CHA	14.8	13.8	14.0	14.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Edmond Sumner	2	2	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-6	9	11.0	14.7	-3.68	6.5	14.5	-7.99
Goga Bitadze	22	20	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.13	-4	1	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.14	12.4	14.8	-2.42
Aaron Holiday	39	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	4	-11	13.3	15.5	-2.22	13.7	14.7	-0.92
Jeremy Lamb	63	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.40	7	-10	17	14.3	15.1	-0.79	15.0	13.3	1.74
Domantas Sabonis	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.53	8	-11	19	15.0	13.5	1.51	15.4	10.8	4.63
Doug McDermott	37	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	7	-17	15.1	14.3	0.79	13.3	15.0	-1.74
Justin Holiday	81	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-2	1	14.9	13.5	1.34	13.7	16.8	-3.14
Myles Turner	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.49	1	-4	5	15.0	13.5	1.49	14.3	14.3	0.03
Malcolm Brogdon	71	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	1	-5	15.1	13.4	1.68	14.6	13.5	1.08

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	65	66	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-9	21	15.5	12.0	3.51	14.9	14.0	0.92
P.J. Washington	73	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.52	5	-2	7	14.8	13.0	1.86	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Terry Rozier	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	3	-3	14.1	14.8	-0.70	15.5	13.0	2.48
Cody Zeller	52	54	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.41	-4	7	-11	14.1	14.6	-0.50	15.4	13.7	1.69
Gordon Hayward	80	80	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.48	-7	10	-17	14.5	13.4	1.13	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Bismack Biyombo	11	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-2	7	16.2	14.1	2.08	14.9	14.6	0.34
Malik Monk	31	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	-2	7	13.7	14.6	-0.86	13.0	15.4	-2.40
Miles Bridges	56	56	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	4	-5	13.2	15.8	-2.54	14.3	15.0	-0.78
LaMelo Ball	62	64	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	3	-3	13.6	15.5	-1.88	14.2	15.3	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, NOH 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.67,0.69,1	90.9%
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	90.9%
SAS 97, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	90.7%