NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	107		Excitement	9.7 [83]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +49.0%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.2 [612]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (IND): -25.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.36	0.13	0.25	0.02	16	71%	0.46	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.07	0.01	15	60%	0.20	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Aron Baynes	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	18	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Terence Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	0.01	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.06
Yuta Watanabe	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	7	21%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.13	0.37	0.01	12	83%	0.62	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.00	9	68%	0.20	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.34,-0.34,-0.29,-0.31,-0.36,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.23	-0.01	-0.00	22	26%	-0.12	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.04
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	0.00	10	36%	-0.16	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	33.5	15.3	26.4	2.4	35.3	137.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -1.4%

IND -3.5%

TOR +24.6%

TOR +24.3%

TOR +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	14.4	105.9	100.0	111.3
season	14.2	13.6		111.0	111.5
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	12.8	14.7	13.8	14.3
IND	13.3	13.9	12.0	17.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	75	77	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-10	25	14.5	13.6	0.93	14.4	12.9	1.52
OG Anunoby	82	83	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-9	23	14.5	13.6	0.90	14.5	12.2	2.28
Fred VanVleet	84	86	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-7	19	14.3	14.2	0.16	14.5	12.0	2.45
Stanley Johnson	67	68	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	2	1	14.1	14.7	-0.65	14.2	13.7	0.54
Aron Baynes	37	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	3	-1	15.4	13.7	1.78	13.1	14.6	-1.55
DeAndre' Bembry	42	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	3	-1	14.4	14.2	0.21	14.0	14.1	-0.16
Chris Boucher	45	44	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	11	-17	14.1	14.5	-0.39	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Yuta Watanabe	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	5	-5	13.7	14.9	-1.20	14.1	14.1	-0.01
Terence Davis	8	7	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	9	-13	12.7	14.4	-1.69	11.6	14.3	-2.68
Matt Thomas	2	2	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.07	-6	11	-17	8.5	14.4	-5.92	9.0	14.2	-5.17
Malachi Flynn	17	16	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.05	-7	12	-19	14.2	14.3	-0.16	12.0	14.5	-2.45

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	39	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-5	5	15.5	13.2	2.38	13.3	15.0	-1.63
Aaron Holiday	22	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	16.2	13.5	2.69	13.5	14.5	-0.99
T.J. McConnell	46	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-4	3	14.4	13.8	0.59	14.3	14.3	0.08
Justin Holiday	84	84	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-8	11	13.1	18.6	-5.52	15.0	10.8	4.26
Myles Turner	79	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.24	-2	-3	1	13.1	17.5	-4.40	14.8	12.5	2.37
Doug McDermott	72	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	14.4	13.3	1.09	13.5	15.9	-2.33
Malcolm Brogdon	82	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	0	-5	14.0	14.2	-0.16	14.4	14.0	0.38
Domantas Sabonis	86	83	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	3	-11	14.3	12.7	1.56	14.3	14.4	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.38,0.21,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.09,0	91.3%
NYK 97, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.42,0	91.1%
WAS 95, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.19,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.58,0	90.8%