NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	8.2 [230]		MVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): +10.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	106		Comeback	1.6 [496]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -30.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matisse Thybulle	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.07	-0.07	0.00	18	65%	0.15	5	-0.16	7	86%	0.03
Tony Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.01	-0.08	-0.01	13	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.00	7	53%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	8	33%	-0.12	3	-0.09	8	25%	-0.15
Ben Simmons	-0.30	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3	-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	7	-0.33	7	71%	0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.12,-0.04,-0.3	-0.06	-0.24	-0.00	17	51%	0.08	5	-0.38	7	100%	0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	0.00	5	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Clarke	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	14	35%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.01	8	69%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	15	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Ja Morant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.14	-0.01	14	53%	0.07	3	-0.21	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	28.2	14.6	26.7	1.7	36.3	135.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +15.6%

PHI -9.8%

PHI -18.1%

MEM +58.4%

MEM +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	13.7	14.4	100.0	102.9	111.3
season	14.5	14.0		112.6	111.2
opponent	14.5	14.2		110.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	13.3	15.2	13.7	14.1
MEM	12.5	13.8	12.5	16.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	76	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.42	9	-11	20	14.5	13.0	1.51	14.4	12.2	2.19
Tony Bradley	18	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	5	-12	14.8	14.0	0.88	12.2	14.1	-1.88
Matisse Thybulle	43	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	0	-2	12.5	15.2	-2.76	13.6	13.8	-0.21
Tyrese Maxey	52	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-4	6	15.5	12.7	2.75	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Dwight Howard	74	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-5	8	14.6	13.0	1.60	14.0	13.2	0.80
Ben Simmons	80	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-2	2	14.0	14.4	-0.40	13.5	14.6	-1.13
Tobias Harris	71	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-1	0	14.1	14.2	-0.11	13.7	13.7	0.06
Isaiah Joe	35	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	10	-22	13.2	14.6	-1.32	13.4	13.9	-0.42
Shake Milton	71	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	0	-2	13.5	15.3	-1.75	13.8	13.5	0.37

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	62	63	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-6	14	13.7	13.8	-0.14	14.9	12.9	2.03
Ja Morant	67	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-4	10	13.3	14.5	-1.24	14.1	14.2	-0.14
Xavier Tillman	59	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	-3	8	13.0	14.7	-1.68	14.4	13.7	0.77
Desmond Bane	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-8	18	13.9	13.6	0.35	13.9	14.2	-0.34
Grayson Allen	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	-4	10	13.5	14.0	-0.47	14.2	13.9	0.31
De'Anthony Melton	26	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-3	8	13.0	14.0	-1.01	14.7	13.9	0.73
Dillon Brooks	57	59	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.43	-11	13	-24	14.3	13.0	1.38	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Brandon Clarke	66	68	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.40	-12	14	-26	13.6	13.9	-0.36	13.4	15.4	-2.00
Jonas Valanciunas	44	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	14.7	13.0	1.68	13.9	14.3	-0.34
Tyus Jones	36	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	6	-10	14.5	13.3	1.24	14.2	14.1	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.85,0.82,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 94, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
BKN 113, MIA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.77,1	92.4%
ATL 104, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.99,0.98,1,1	92.3%