NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	5.4 [721]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +17.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	111		Comeback	1.6 [517]		LVP	Maurice Evans (ATL): -13.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	12	66%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	11	71%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	22	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	7	36%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.02	0.01	14	79%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.03	16	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.05	0.06	9	79%	0.18	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	100%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	42%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	28.5	15.6	27.0	1.8	39.0	138.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +50.3%

MIL +0.8%

ATL -0.6%

ATL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.3	115.6	123.3	106.0
season	16.0	15.5		109.4	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		101.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	19.9	14.4	18.9	12.7	16.2
MIL	16.1	15.0	15.4	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	2.0	16.3	-14.35	2.0	16.0	-13.97
Mario West	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	11.8	16.4	-4.65	5.5	16.3	-10.79
Maurice Evans	33	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-6	5	14.8	17.0	-2.16	17.5	14.9	2.65
Zaza Pachulia	36	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-1	-5	16.3	16.1	0.15	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Marvin Williams	36	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-5	3	17.9	15.1	2.83	15.5	16.0	-0.51
Al Horford	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-5	3	17.0	15.0	1.98	17.1	13.7	3.43
Jamal Crawford	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	15.0	20.0	-4.91	15.7	16.1	-0.43
Mike Bibby	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	16.8	15.3	1.52	15.0	17.2	-2.24
Joe Johnson	86	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	16.3	12.7	3.60	15.9	13.7	2.16
Josh Smith	75	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	1	-9	16.3	15.7	0.55	16.0	14.9	1.05

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	79	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.21	9	-2	11	15.9	15.1	0.82	16.4	14.7	1.76
Carlos Delfino	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	5	-3	16.2	14.2	1.97	16.3	15.5	0.79
Kurt Thomas	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	3	1	16.5	14.5	2.02	16.5	15.7	0.78
Brandon Jennings	66	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	6	-5	15.9	15.5	0.42	15.5	18.0	-2.45
Ersan Ilyasova	36	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	1	5	15.1	16.3	-1.12	15.2	16.9	-1.65
Luke Ridnour	24	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	1	5	15.5	15.9	-0.42	18.0	15.5	2.45
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	51	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	8	-9	16.5	14.9	1.63	16.4	15.9	0.56
Jerry Stackhouse	28	29	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	4	-1	14.2	16.5	-2.27	15.2	16.7	-1.45
Dan Gadzuric	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	4	-1	15.4	16.0	-0.59	16.7	15.9	0.79
Charlie Bell	3	2	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	5	-3	5.3	16.2	-10.84	12.5	16.3	-3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	94.6%
CHA 92, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.4%
TOR 75, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.4%