NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	92		Excitement	6.4 [551]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +10.0%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.3 [853]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -26.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	81%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Derrick Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Dominic McGuire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	13	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.06	22	49%	-0.03	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.05
Shaun Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	28%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.14	-0.09	0.03	17	43%	-0.04	7	-0.22	1	0%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	13	58%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	13	62%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	61%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	11	57%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	19	42%	-0.03	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	11	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.6	16.4	28.4	2.7	30.4	132.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +53.0%

IND +1.9%

CHA -10.1%

IND +2.9%

IND +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	15.5	93.9	103.1	105.7
season	16.2	14.7		102.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	14.8	16.4	16.7	15.7
IND	13.1	12.8	15.6	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-9	10	14.0	17.0	-3.07	14.2	13.5	0.65
Derrick Brown	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	18.7	15.4	3.34	11.7	14.0	-2.38
Eduardo Najera	10	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	17.0	15.6	1.44	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Kwame Brown	43	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-9	10	16.2	15.3	0.82	12.8	14.6	-1.75
D.J. Augustin	48	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-9	10	15.4	16.0	-0.65	14.6	13.0	1.60
Gerald Wallace	74	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-9	10	15.4	16.7	-1.33	14.3	12.2	2.07
Shaun Livingston	50	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	3	-14	16.0	15.4	0.65	13.0	14.6	-1.60
Stephen Jackson	88	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	0	-8	15.1	20.6	-5.45	13.5	16.2	-2.77
Boris Diaw	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	15.8	15.4	0.32	14.2	12.4	1.75
Dominic McGuire	47	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	5	-18	17.4	14.2	3.23	14.2	13.5	0.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	54	54	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-6	20	14.8	12.7	2.11	15.9	15.5	0.41
Mike Dunleavy	60	62	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-3	14	13.8	13.8	-0.02	16.5	14.4	2.08
T.J. Ford	32	33	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-1	10	14.3	13.6	0.68	18.4	14.4	4.01
Brandon Rush	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	1	6	14.2	13.4	0.79	15.7	15.7	0.08
Solomon Jones	39	40	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	-2	12	14.3	13.5	0.72	16.2	15.3	0.92
Roy Hibbert	58	58	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	10	-12	13.5	14.3	-0.72	15.3	16.2	-0.92
Danny Granger	78	77	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	10	-12	13.6	14.8	-1.20	15.1	18.0	-2.98
Darren Collison	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	9	-10	13.6	14.3	-0.68	14.4	18.4	-4.01
Josh McRoberts	43	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	14	-20	12.7	14.8	-2.11	15.5	15.9	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1	95.4%
SAS 95, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
POR 82, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%