NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	113		Excitement	9.5 [102]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +40.3%
Toronto Raptors	116		Comeback	2.6 [664]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -13.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.4	0.08	0.31	-0.01	19	63%	0.54	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	15	59%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	-0.02	0.03	13	69%	0.14	1	-0.01	10	100%	0.05
Malik Monk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	13	50%	0.12	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Caleb Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	40%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Miles Bridges	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
LaMelo Ball	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	11	46%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.29,0.39	0.39	0.17	0.22	0.00	7	83%	0.39	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.33	0.33	0.05	0.29	0.00	13	63%	0.43	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.06	-0.00	12	80%	0.34	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	2	150%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	13	69%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.05	-0.07	16	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	14	30%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	27.8	13.8	30.2	1.8	35.0	138.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +14.9%

TOR +33.4%

CHA -8.8%

TOR +10.1%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	13.9	14.4	111.9	112.6	111.3
season	14.2	14.2		109.4	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.7		111.2	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.1	13.6	12.0	15.8	14.3
TOR	12.7	13.6	15.1	14.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	80	82	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.41	20	-23	43	14.2	14.9	-0.74	13.9	13.9	0.02
P.J. Washington	73	73	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.41	19	-22	41	14.0	15.1	-1.09	13.9	13.9	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	72	74	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-7	11	14.1	14.9	-0.81	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Malik Monk	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	4	-11	14.6	14.3	0.33	15.6	13.8	1.85
Caleb Martin	11	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	8	-19	17.0	14.0	3.01	12.8	14.1	-1.23
Gordon Hayward	81	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-3	3	13.8	16.5	-2.72	14.5	11.8	2.68
Devonte' Graham	81	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.59	2	-5	7	14.6	13.2	1.33	13.7	15.1	-1.37
LaMelo Ball	47	48	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.17	-19	16	-35	14.6	14.1	0.52	13.4	14.4	-1.03
Miles Bridges	52	52	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.11	-23	20	-43	14.9	13.7	1.13	14.0	13.8	0.20

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	67	67	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.63	6	-3	9	14.6	12.7	1.80	14.1	14.7	-0.63
Fred VanVleet	80	77	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.58	7	-4	11	13.9	13.8	0.12	14.2	14.7	-0.46
Norman Powell	59	58	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.08	22	-19	41	13.9	13.9	0.06	15.4	12.9	2.46
Chris Boucher	62	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-12	27	13.8	14.1	-0.37	15.5	12.3	3.19
Malachi Flynn	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.24	11	-8	19	13.1	14.4	-1.32	14.6	14.1	0.44
OG Anunoby	76	73	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	13	-23	14.7	11.7	3.06	13.8	15.5	-1.69
Kyle Lowry	79	78	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	12	-21	13.8	14.3	-0.48	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Yuta Watanabe	9	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.01	-3	6	-9	13.6	14.0	-0.40	13.2	14.4	-1.16
Aron Baynes	11	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.14	-10	13	-23	13.8	13.9	-0.12	12.2	14.6	-2.40
Stanley Johnson	33	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.25	-14	17	-31	12.3	14.7	-2.34	13.0	14.9	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.46,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.56,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 104, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.76,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1	89.9%
MIN 105, TOR 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	89.8%
IND 98, DET 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.59,0.7,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1	89.5%