NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	7.7 [322]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +28.6%
Toronto Raptors	114		Comeback	2.0 [888]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -21.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.01	9	87%	0.30	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	3	100%	0.16	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Tyus Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.10
Tayshaun Prince	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	32%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	13	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22	-0.02	-0.16	0.04	19	55%	0.02	6	-0.23	9	67%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.17	-0.00	14	62%	0.29	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.07	0.02	8	75%	0.20	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	19	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	28.6	15.8	35.4	2.4	32.5	141.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +24.0%

MIN -14.3%

TOR +11.0%

TOR +22.6%

TOR +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	TOR	NBA	MIN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	14.9	110.5	121.3	105.1
season	14.8	16.1		104.8	107.2
opponent	14.8	15.0		104.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	15.3	14.8	13.3	14.5
TOR	15.5	17.5	14.6	16.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	83	81	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-18	27	14.1	16.7	-2.53	16.3	14.3	2.00
Kevin Martin	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-9	9	16.9	14.3	2.60	19.0	15.8	3.21
Tayshaun Prince	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-12	15	14.5	14.5	0.00	16.6	15.7	0.93
Andrew Wiggins	62	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.28	8	-17	25	14.2	14.9	-0.75	16.8	14.6	2.18
Tyus Jones	23	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-7	5	15.2	14.2	0.95	15.3	16.3	-0.94
Adreian Payne	13	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	1	-11	16.8	14.1	2.68	15.8	16.1	-0.22
Ricky Rubio	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	14.2	15.2	-0.95	16.3	15.3	0.94
Karl-Anthony Towns	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	3	-15	14.1	15.7	-1.62	16.1	15.9	0.10
Shabazz Muhammad	42	41	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.15	-15	6	-21	15.5	13.6	1.88	15.0	16.8	-1.83
Zach LaVine	66	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.09	-19	10	-29	14.1	15.2	-1.09	15.0	18.3	-3.29

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	69	71	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.18	23	-14	37	14.9	19.2	-4.37	14.8	13.5	1.33
Cory Joseph	46	45	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.22	21	-12	33	15.3	16.7	-1.38	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Bismack Biyombo	58	57	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.14	23	-14	37	15.1	17.5	-2.38	14.7	14.0	0.71
Terrence Ross	39	40	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-8	25	14.5	17.1	-2.68	15.6	13.6	1.98
Kyle Lowry	74	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.37	1	8	-7	16.9	12.9	3.91	14.7	13.4	1.36
DeMar DeRozan	75	76	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	4	1	15.6	17.6	-2.00	14.2	15.6	-1.47
Norman Powell	12	11	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	8	-7	13.8	16.4	-2.52	13.5	14.6	-1.13
Delon Wright	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	11.0	16.1	-5.09	4.0	14.6	-10.56
Jonas Valanciunas	36	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.10	-14	23	-37	17.5	15.1	2.38	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Luis Scola	25	24	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.06	-14	23	-37	19.2	14.9	4.37	13.5	14.8	-1.33
James Johnson	35	36	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	0.03	-18	27	-45	18.7	14.4	4.27	14.4	14.5	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 97, NOK 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.85,1	92.4%
PHI 88, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.89,0.96,1	92.4%
DET 90, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,1	91.6%