NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	7.0 [398]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +19.7%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	2.0 [792]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -18.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	16	59%	0.20	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Jrue Holiday	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	17	57%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	125%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Maalik Wayns	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	12	32%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	17	35%	-0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.13	-0.01	16	69%	0.35	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	0.00	1	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	0.00	14	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	15	40%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.8	29.3	15.4	25.3	2.4	39.6	134.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.6%

PHI -10.4%

CHI +23.1%

PHI -7.1%

CHI +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.6	15.4	96.7	102.2	104.1
season	15.5	16.6		100.5	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	16.6	14.0	15.1	15.1
CHI	16.6	16.1	18.1	15.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	0	-5	15.5	14.7	0.79	16.9	16.3	0.54
Maalik Wayns	19	17	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	3	-11	14.1	15.3	-1.29	16.4	16.6	-0.27
Dorell Wright	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	4	-13	14.9	15.2	-0.27	15.2	17.6	-2.43
Jrue Holiday	72	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-8	11	15.3	14.1	1.29	16.6	16.4	0.27
Jason Richardson	65	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-8	11	14.8	15.8	-1.08	16.6	16.6	0.02
Lavoy Allen	63	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-4	3	15.2	14.8	0.42	17.1	15.4	1.65
Thaddeus Young	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	15.0	15.6	-0.63	16.5	16.7	-0.19
Evan Turner	80	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	15.2	14.4	0.81	16.7	15.4	1.32

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	40	39	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-3	11	16.1	17.0	-0.89	13.6	16.2	-2.60
Taj Gibson	43	42	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-3	11	16.2	16.9	-0.64	13.8	16.2	-2.35
Joakim Noah	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-1	7	16.7	15.7	0.95	14.9	16.3	-1.45
Luol Deng	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	-2	9	16.5	16.9	-0.40	15.5	11.7	3.81
Kirk Hinrich	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.33	1	4	-3	16.6	16.4	0.27	15.3	14.5	0.80
Marco Belinelli	21	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	7	-9	17.1	16.4	0.74	15.6	14.9	0.67
Nate Robinson	23	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	1	3	15.9	16.8	-0.94	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Richard Hamilton	43	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	6	-7	16.5	16.6	-0.11	15.2	15.0	0.20
Carlos Boozer	59	60	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	13	-21	16.9	16.0	0.93	16.3	12.7	3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, TOR 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.4%
SAS 88, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,1	92.2%
MIN 96, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.47,0.79,0.99,1,1	92.2%