NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	97		Excitement	8.9 [151]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (NOK): +23.2%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	98		Comeback	2.4 [667]		LVP	Devin Brown (NOK): -14.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	9	100%	0.26	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	40%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Johan Petro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	19	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.18,-0.11	0.08	-0.20	-0.01	20	71%	0.07	7	-0.18	5	100%	0.05

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.17	0.00	10	68%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.01	15	57%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	18	49%	0.10	2	-0.11	11	82%	-0.03
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	16	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	11	26%	-0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	27.0	15.8	21.3	2.8	29.7	125.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -37.8%

NOK +13.9%

NOK +55.1%

NOK +14.4%

NOK +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NOK	NBA	SEA	NOK	NBA
this game	14.1	17.0	15.4	105.4	105.4	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		105.5	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.5	12.6	15.6	15.2	14.1
NOK	13.2	16.7	16.3	24.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	11	11	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-6	11	14.5	14.0	0.50	23.9	16.1	7.82
Mike Wilks	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-2	3	14.7	14.1	0.60	12.7	17.3	-4.64
Luke Ridnour	51	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-11	21	14.2	14.0	0.15	16.2	18.1	-1.94
Chris Wilcox	68	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-7	13	14.4	13.2	1.16	16.2	19.2	-3.05
Damien Wilkins	32	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	1	-3	13.5	14.4	-0.89	16.8	17.1	-0.30
Johan Petro	10	10	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	11	-23	14.2	14.1	0.10	20.8	16.6	4.25
Ray Allen	75	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	2	-5	14.4	13.0	1.36	16.1	21.4	-5.27
Rashard Lewis	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-4	7	14.1	14.1	-0.03	18.0	12.2	5.75
Nick Collison	78	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	6	-13	14.5	11.9	2.66	15.8	24.2	-8.39
Earl Watson	52	52	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	5	-11	12.9	15.7	-2.86	19.1	14.4	4.64

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	68	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-4	9	17.1	16.9	0.18	14.0	14.5	-0.59
David West	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.61	-7	8	-15	18.4	13.6	4.76	13.7	15.4	-1.71
Linton Johnson	34	32	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-13	27	15.8	17.7	-1.92	15.5	13.3	2.18
Bobby Jackson	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	-9	19	17.1	16.9	0.16	14.9	13.6	1.37
Desmond Mason	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	0	1	15.7	19.8	-4.07	14.0	14.4	-0.40
Tyson Chandler	74	73	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.36	-6	7	-13	17.0	17.0	0.01	13.7	15.6	-1.92
Devin Brown	65	64	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.47	-10	11	-21	17.3	16.4	0.83	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Rasual Butler	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	1	-1	19.8	15.7	4.07	14.4	14.0	0.40
Hilton Armstrong	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	0	1	12.8	17.6	-4.80	15.4	13.9	1.43
Jannero Pargo	17	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	4	-7	15.6	17.3	-1.67	13.3	14.3	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, TOR 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.4%
NJN 81, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.84,1	92.1%
PHX 93, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.95,0.96,1	91.6%