NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	9.6 [91]		MVP	Jeff Green (MEM): +38.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	3.3 [566]		LVP	Jon Leuer (PHX): -27.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.26	0.07	0.20	0.01	6	86%	0.29	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Mirza Teletovic	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.08	0.17	-0.01	10	64%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
TJ Warren	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	22	45%	0.06	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	15	55%	0.10	5	-0.21	1	100%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27	-0.09	-0.20	-0.01	11	37%	-0.12	3	-0.15	5	60%	-0.18

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.39	0.39	-0.04	0.43	0.00	11	43%	0.45	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.08	0.27	-0.00	12	69%	0.41	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	17	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	4	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	61%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	16	31%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.26	-0.26	-0.06	-0.21	-0.00	14	37%	-0.25	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.0	25.0	15.4	31.6	2.6	39.3	137.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -16.1%

MEM +25.1%

MEM +4.9%

MEM +27.9%

MEM +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	13.5	16.7	14.9	95.9	101.1	105.1
season	14.4	15.7		100.9	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.4		106.7	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	13.0	14.9	12.9	13.5
MEM	15.6	17.7	15.1	18.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	54	53	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.08	11	-13	24	14.2	12.7	1.53	16.9	16.5	0.42
Ronnie Price	19	18	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-8	14	13.1	13.6	-0.50	15.6	17.0	-1.35
Alex Len	63	63	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.34	14	-16	30	13.3	13.9	-0.63	17.1	15.8	1.29
Devin Booker	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	12.5	14.0	-1.41	16.5	16.8	-0.28
TJ Warren	30	28	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	12	-26	13.5	13.5	-0.01	15.0	17.4	-2.48
Eric Bledsoe	82	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	13.6	13.2	0.36	16.7	16.7	0.04
Brandon Knight	73	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	3	-8	13.6	13.1	0.56	17.2	15.0	2.20
Jon Leuer	83	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	2	-6	13.8	12.0	1.76	16.3	18.7	-2.42
Mirza Teletovic	50	48	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.60	-15	13	-28	13.1	14.0	-0.88	17.3	16.1	1.25

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	52	54	1.12	-0.62	1.74	0.56	19	-17	36	16.6	16.8	-0.24	13.1	14.0	-0.89
JaMychal Green	36	39	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-17	36	15.4	17.5	-2.04	13.8	13.3	0.48
Courtney Lee	56	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-3	8	17.1	16.1	0.96	12.8	14.6	-1.81
Mike Conley	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.36	2	0	2	17.0	16.1	0.90	14.1	12.2	1.84
Mario Chalmers	42	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	-5	12	16.2	17.1	-0.88	12.9	14.0	-1.15
Marc Gasol	72	74	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.38	-9	11	-20	16.5	17.3	-0.74	13.4	13.9	-0.53
Jeff Green	50	52	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.33	-10	12	-22	16.5	16.9	-0.43	13.8	13.1	0.69
Vince Carter	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	7	-12	18.9	16.4	2.46	11.5	13.7	-2.24
Zach Randolph	69	70	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.11	-3	5	-8	17.5	14.6	2.86	14.0	12.3	1.62
Tony Allen	17	16	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.17	-15	17	-32	15.5	17.0	-1.43	14.9	13.2	1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 96, NOP 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.92,1	92.5%
SEA 97, NOK 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.85,1	91.6%
DET 74, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.96,1	91.6%