NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	9.9 [64]		MVP	Keldon Johnson (SAS): +25.9%
San Antonio Spurs	103		Comeback	2.9 [492]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -25.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.14,0.06,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.14	0.11	-0.00	26	58%	0.28	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	8	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.00	11	50%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.02	15	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25	-0.00	-0.24	0.01	22	51%	-0.15	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.10	-0.01	11	87%	0.36	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	16	62%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	16	45%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.06	-0.03	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	9	45%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.07
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	13	40%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	34.0	14.7	28.1	2.3	26.6	133.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +6.5%

SAS -12.0%

LAL +53.6%

LAL +2.7%

SAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	14.4	105.8	103.0	111.3
season	14.6	14.6		108.6	109.8
opponent	14.2	14.5		111.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	12.2	12.9	17.1	14.3
SAS	13.2	14.0	14.3	14.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	73	72	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.29	18	-12	30	14.7	13.3	1.37	14.8	12.3	2.47
Dennis Schroder	71	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	3	0	14.2	14.5	-0.29	14.1	14.0	0.10
Anthony Davis	76	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	6	-6	14.4	13.9	0.47	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Wesley Matthews	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.36	-1	7	-8	15.3	13.2	2.05	13.9	14.3	-0.36
Kyle Kuzma	49	49	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.32	-2	8	-10	13.8	14.7	-0.99	14.3	13.9	0.32
Markieff Morris	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	0	6	13.9	14.4	-0.47	14.8	13.8	0.98
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	40	36	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	2	2	13.8	14.6	-0.73	13.8	14.2	-0.42
Talen Horton-Tucker	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	4	-2	13.9	14.5	-0.58	13.3	14.5	-1.11
Montrezl Harrell	49	50	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	6	-6	14.8	13.8	0.96	13.4	14.8	-1.44

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	51	53	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-8	10	14.1	14.1	-0.00	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Drew Eubanks	49	49	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.09	-2	-4	2	14.1	14.1	0.00	14.4	14.1	0.34
Jakob Poeltl	43	46	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-8	10	13.7	14.4	-0.71	13.7	14.8	-1.12
Dejounte Murray	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-4	2	14.0	14.3	-0.28	14.6	13.7	0.85
Lonnie Walker IV	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.07	-10	4	-14	13.8	14.4	-0.52	14.6	13.9	0.68
Derrick White	47	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-5	4	13.2	14.9	-1.71	14.6	14.0	0.56
Rudy Gay	49	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-4	2	14.5	13.7	0.80	14.3	14.3	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	14.8	12.0	2.75	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Keldon Johnson	71	74	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.48	-12	6	-18	14.2	13.8	0.38	14.5	13.8	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.41,0	91.7%
GSW 113, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.43,0.42,0	91.2%
NOK 86, LAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.45,0.42,0	91.2%