NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	8.3 [203]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +25.2%
Miami Heat	91		Comeback	2.6 [445]		LVP	Mike James (MIA): -27.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25	0.03	0.22	-0.00	17	60%	0.30	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.06
Derrick Coleman	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	74%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
John Salmons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Buckner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	12	53%	0.03	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Keith Van Horn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08	0.09	-0.15	0.02	15	68%	0.09	2	-0.17	8	100%	0.08
Brian Skinner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Aaron McKie	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.14	0.00	20	60%	0.28	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	6	83%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brian Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	7	57%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	-0.01	18	52%	-0.00	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	5	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	6	33%	-0.10	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.24,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.19	-0.01	8	30%	-0.11	1	-0.17	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.7	28.3	16.2	25.7	2.5	39.2	140.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +20.8%

PHI +14.1%

PHI +11.8%

PHI +0.7%

PHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.6	17.3	15.5	111.5	103.4	101.6
season	15.3	16.3		102.1	94.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.7	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.8	13.6	14.2	17.9	15.6
MIA	17.5	19.7	15.1	17.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	51	52	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.40	17	-11	28	15.5	15.7	-0.28	16.8	18.1	-1.25
Aaron McKie	62	63	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-8	22	14.9	17.3	-2.38	18.1	15.4	2.68
Allen Iverson	82	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	15.8	11.4	4.44	16.9	22.5	-5.56
Keith Van Horn	67	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	8	-10	15.9	14.4	1.54	17.1	18.3	-1.21
Eric Snow	76	76	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	7	-8	15.6	15.8	-0.27	17.1	18.6	-1.46
John Salmons	18	18	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	2	2	17.8	15.0	2.76	17.7	17.2	0.44
Todd MacCulloch	9	9	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	4	-2	15.9	15.6	0.34	16.8	17.4	-0.60
Greg Buckner	24	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	8	-10	15.0	15.8	-0.81	17.0	17.4	-0.44
Brian Skinner	46	45	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.12	-6	12	-18	15.1	16.1	-1.01	18.4	16.2	2.21

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	22	22	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.14	-4	-2	-2	19.6	16.5	3.09	17.3	15.0	2.32
Travis Best	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-4	2	18.0	16.9	1.06	14.1	16.5	-2.46
Brian Grant	66	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.27	5	-11	16	16.1	21.0	-4.97	15.7	15.2	0.54
LaPhonso Ellis	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-3	0	18.5	16.5	2.03	16.1	15.3	0.78
Vladimir Stepania	29	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	1	-8	19.1	16.5	2.61	15.6	15.6	0.08
Eddie Jones	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	16.8	21.8	-4.97	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Malik Allen	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	0	-6	17.1	17.6	-0.53	15.0	16.3	-1.29
Mike James	54	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	16.9	18.0	-1.06	16.5	14.1	2.46
Caron Butler	75	75	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.51	-5	-1	-4	17.2	18.2	-0.98	15.2	18.1	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, SEA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.34,0.27,0	92.3%
MIN 112, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.27,0	92.2%
NJN 97, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	92.1%