NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	134		Excitement	10.7 [48]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +52.7%
Brooklyn Nets	133		Comeback	6.8 [445]		LVP	Caris LeVert (BKN): -32.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.53	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53	0.34	0.19	0.00	22	79%	0.56	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.06
Jusuf Nurkic	0.36	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.36,0.36	0.10	0.26	0.00	17	63%	0.39	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.07
Gary Trent Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	0.00	13	62%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	6	89%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Anfernee Simons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	21	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
Mario Hezonja	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	12	37%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	10	62%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	0.00	13	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	14	68%	0.29	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.03	-0.00	13	73%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	9	44%	-0.07
Caris LeVert	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,-0.08,-0.32	-0.32	0.07	-0.36	0.03	29	60%	-0.03	6	-0.30	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.0	29.2	16.6	32.3	2.7	28.5	137.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +12.7%

POR +27.5%

BKN -31.6%

POR +35.6%

POR +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BKN	NBA	POR	BKN	NBA
this game	13.3	14.2	14.2	127.6	127.9	109.6
season	14.4	14.1		111.9	108.0
opponent	14.1	13.9		109.4	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	12.2	13.3	12.3	13.3
BKN	13.6	11.5	15.0	17.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	79	79	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.50	13	-12	25	13.1	14.1	-1.00	14.8	12.4	2.37
Jusuf Nurkic	71	71	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.48	10	-9	19	12.9	14.3	-1.43	15.0	12.7	2.31
CJ McCollum	97	96	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-6	13	13.1	16.4	-3.30	14.3	13.6	0.67
Damian Lillard	96	94	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.49	-1	2	-3	13.1	15.3	-2.20	14.5	11.5	3.03
Gary Trent Jr.	79	78	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	7	-13	13.4	13.1	0.28	14.6	13.2	1.35
Anfernee Simons	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	0	1	9.8	13.5	-3.70	10.8	14.4	-3.62
Zach Collins	38	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	5	-9	14.6	12.6	2.01	13.0	14.9	-1.91
Mario Hezonja	25	25	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.07	-6	7	-13	14.5	13.0	1.52	12.8	14.7	-1.95
Hassan Whiteside	34	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	10	-19	14.3	12.9	1.43	12.7	15.0	-2.31

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodions Kurucs	51	51	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.13	4	-5	9	13.6	14.8	-1.24	13.3	13.3	0.02
Tyler Johnson	53	56	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-5	9	13.8	14.7	-0.87	13.6	13.1	0.49
Jarrett Allen	81	82	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.47	16	-17	33	14.3	14.1	0.14	13.4	13.1	0.30
Garrett Temple	79	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.44	12	-13	25	14.7	12.7	2.00	13.3	13.4	-0.08
Justin Anderson	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	5	-11	12.2	14.5	-2.30	15.1	13.1	1.99
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	66	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.45	6	-7	13	15.0	12.8	2.20	13.5	13.0	0.54
Lance Thomas	9	9	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	10	-21	15.8	14.1	1.68	12.1	13.4	-1.33
Jeremiah Martin	21	21	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	13	-27	13.2	14.5	-1.32	13.8	13.2	0.61
Caris LeVert	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.56	4	-5	9	14.5	13.7	0.75	13.2	13.6	-0.46
Joe Harris	77	77	-1.14	0.64	-1.79	-0.56	-20	19	-39	14.0	15.0	-1.08	12.8	14.7	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.57,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 101, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.16,0	91.8%
WAS 87, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.89,0.82,0.67,0.47,0.41,0.71,0.47,0.55,0.36,0.22,0.16,0	90.1%
HOU 94, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.16,0.04,0	89.8%