NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	9.2 [94]		MVP	Maurice Evans (WAS): +18.2%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	11.0 [23]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -27.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.18	0.07	0.11	0.00	8	74%	0.33	2	-0.15	3	100%	0.07
Brian Cook	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.01	19	51%	0.14	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02
John Wall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	15	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Chris Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	10	25%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.17	-0.12	-0.02	13	28%	-0.19	4	-0.08	6	83%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	15	53%	0.22	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	40%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0,0,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	20	51%	0.03	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.14	0.01	15	44%	-0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	0.01	9	30%	-0.16	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	28.8	15.8	29.2	1.7	43.0	146.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +23.9%

WAS +19.1%

CHI -4.4%

WAS +9.9%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.6	93.5	91.3	102.8
season	15.0	16.0		99.5	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.7		97.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.2	15.5	18.4	15.1	15.5
CHI	15.6	15.1	15.0	16.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	29	30	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.49	17	-14	31	15.4	15.5	-0.07	17.5	14.7	2.76
Maurice Evans	50	50	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-8	19	14.7	16.4	-1.72	16.3	14.8	1.49
James Singleton	30	32	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	-3	9	15.0	15.7	-0.78	15.5	15.7	-0.26
Jordan Crawford	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	-5	13	15.8	14.9	0.90	15.2	16.6	-1.37
Kevin Seraphin	84	83	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.37	-4	7	-11	15.5	15.9	-0.44	15.1	20.6	-5.45
Brian Cook	28	26	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	-4	11	14.6	15.9	-1.22	16.1	15.5	0.61
Jan Vesely	40	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	4	-5	16.4	14.8	1.68	17.2	14.4	2.80
John Wall	73	71	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.29	-13	16	-29	15.4	15.9	-0.52	14.6	19.0	-4.35
Chris Singleton	30	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.17	-9	12	-21	16.9	14.8	2.12	15.2	15.9	-0.68
Cartier Martin	40	37	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.07	-7	10	-17	15.3	15.6	-0.34	15.6	15.7	-0.12

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	68	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.35	11	-14	25	15.0	17.5	-2.51	15.9	14.4	1.53
Ronnie Brewer	51	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-7	11	15.0	16.5	-1.53	15.8	15.0	0.84
Taj Gibson	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-2	1	17.3	14.6	2.61	16.2	15.1	1.14
Omer Asik	26	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	5	-13	17.5	14.9	2.59	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Jimmy Butler	9	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	4	-11	20.6	15.1	5.45	14.5	15.6	-1.11
John Lucas III	24	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	3	-9	16.7	15.3	1.39	16.2	15.3	0.90
Carlos Boozer	65	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-6	9	15.0	17.2	-2.19	15.6	15.2	0.38
CJ Watson	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-6	9	15.3	16.7	-1.39	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Joakim Noah	58	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	14.6	17.5	-2.95	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Kyle Korver	56	56	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.35	-14	11	-25	16.3	14.7	1.60	14.6	16.9	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.89,0.82,0.67,0.47,0.41,0.71,0.47,0.55,0.36,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, BKN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.62,0.29,0.06,0.01,0	91.1%
MIN 116, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.79,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.15,0.05,0	90.9%
CHA 98, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	90.8%