NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	9.3 [116]		MVP	Cody Zeller (CHA): +43.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	9.4 [156]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -35.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0.44	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.44	0.19	0.26	0.01	12	79%	0.44	0	0.00	5	100%	0.08
Kemba Walker	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.21	0.09	0.12	0.00	16	64%	0.29	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.18	-0.02	0.19	-0.01	15	44%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.11	0.00	10	70%	0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	7	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	8	22%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.36	-0.13	-0.23	-0.00	11	32%	-0.09	4	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	7	100%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	17	45%	0.03	2	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19	-0.20	-0.03	-0.15	0.02	19	55%	0.09	5	-0.28	4	75%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	17	49%	-0.04	6	-0.16	7	71%	-0.04
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	4	-0.22	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	28.3	14.6	25.4	2.5	35.3	131.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +33.0%

CHA +11.2%

MIL -15.3%

CHA +20.1%

CHA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	13.2	14.9	98.0	95.0	105.1
season	15.1	14.8		105.5	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.8		107.2	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.4	15.9	17.4	14.9	15.6
MIL	12.7	14.1	12.1	13.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	49	50	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.43	18	-15	33	14.4	16.7	-2.32	13.3	13.1	0.26
Cody Zeller	66	64	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.52	5	-2	7	15.8	15.3	0.43	13.2	13.2	0.04
Kemba Walker	85	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	3	-3	15.7	15.3	0.33	13.2	13.2	0.02
Nicolas Batum	73	74	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	4	-5	16.5	13.1	3.42	12.7	14.6	-1.93
Jeremy Lin	50	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-5	13	13.7	17.5	-3.82	13.7	12.6	1.13
Marvin Williams	61	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	12	-21	16.3	14.6	1.67	12.7	14.0	-1.31
Al Jefferson	49	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.09	6	-3	9	14.2	17.0	-2.80	13.5	12.9	0.63
Tyler Hansbrough	19	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	5	-7	17.2	15.2	1.98	13.6	13.1	0.48
Frank Kaminsky	48	48	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.04	-10	13	-23	17.1	14.2	2.87	13.4	13.0	0.36

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	36	37	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.02	9	-12	21	13.0	13.3	-0.30	17.6	14.5	3.11
Rashad Vaughn	35	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-2	1	12.8	13.4	-0.64	12.5	17.2	-4.67
O.J. Mayo	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-3	3	13.3	13.0	0.28	16.4	14.4	2.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	79	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-4	5	13.1	13.6	-0.54	16.4	12.9	3.46
Khris Middleton	81	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-4	5	12.9	14.6	-1.78	16.0	14.2	1.79
Jabari Parker	84	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	1	-5	13.5	11.6	1.86	16.0	13.7	2.29
Michael Carter-Williams	62	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	6	-15	13.5	12.7	0.82	14.6	17.2	-2.54
Greg Monroe	64	63	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.39	-12	9	-21	13.3	13.0	0.30	14.5	17.6	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.28,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.36,0.06,0,0	92.0%
LAC 90, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.24,0.42,0	91.8%
SAS 86, CHA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.62,0.28,0.14,0.16,0	91.4%