NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	7.9 [275]		MVP	Joe Smith (PHI): +13.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	12.3 [118]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -22.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	12	58%	0.16	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.00	10	46%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	16	56%	0.11	3	-0.12	7	86%	0.03
James Singleton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Elton Brand	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17	-0.12	-0.03	0.02	15	37%	-0.05	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	0.00	10	60%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	7	59%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	18	51%	0.04	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.03	0.01	10	42%	0.04	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0,0,0,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.13	0.00	10	65%	0.02	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.22	-0.22	-0.03	-0.15	0.04	13	50%	-0.05	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	33.0	15.4	27.3	1.8	34.3	139.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.6%

PHI -9.1%

LAC +17.4%

LAC +16.7%

PHI -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	17.0	15.4	102.3	101.1	104.5
season	15.7	15.5		103.3	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	14.4	16.7	15.9	15.7
PHI	16.2	18.4	16.8	16.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	13	14	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-7	15	16.5	15.5	0.91	19.1	16.6	2.49
Sam Cassell	51	52	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.02	18	-17	35	15.6	15.8	-0.13	18.5	15.0	3.51
Shaun Livingston	72	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.54	-1	2	-3	15.7	15.6	0.15	16.1	21.5	-5.33
Chris Kaman	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	-2	5	15.9	14.9	0.99	17.3	15.9	1.35
Cuttino Mobley	78	76	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.44	-5	6	-11	15.7	15.8	-0.13	17.0	17.4	-0.43
Doug Christie	42	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	-1	3	14.6	16.7	-2.03	17.9	16.2	1.73
Aaron Williams	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	-3	7	15.8	15.6	0.20	20.3	16.2	4.10
Quinton Ross	23	22	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.45	-15	16	-31	16.4	15.4	0.96	14.1	18.0	-3.88
Elton Brand	70	69	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.21	-9	10	-19	15.7	15.4	0.30	15.8	21.6	-5.78

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	32	32	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.03	9	-10	19	16.4	17.4	-0.96	16.3	15.3	0.94
Alan Henderson	9	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-1	1	20.4	16.7	3.79	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Steven Hunter	40	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	1	-3	16.9	17.2	-0.27	16.0	15.4	0.53
Lou Williams	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	1	-3	28.0	16.4	11.61	16.6	15.6	0.97
Willie Green	19	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	2	-5	17.8	16.8	0.95	15.9	15.6	0.32
Samuel Dalembert	71	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.50	8	-9	17	16.2	20.6	-4.39	15.9	14.5	1.46
Andre Miller	73	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-5	9	16.4	20.3	-3.88	15.6	16.1	-0.46
Andre Iguodala	80	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	0	-1	16.7	20.0	-3.25	15.7	15.3	0.43
Joe Smith	56	56	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.50	-6	5	-11	17.7	15.9	1.74	15.4	16.2	-0.89
Kyle Korver	55	54	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.46	-12	11	-23	17.5	16.4	1.09	15.2	16.4	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.24,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 98, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	91.8%
CHI 88, SEA 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.09,0	90.7%
POR 94, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.36,0.06,0,0	90.7%