NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	7.5 [314]		MVP	Horace Grant (SEA): +12.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	81		Comeback	3.6 [82]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -35.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.06	0.01	21	67%	0.19	4	-0.18	4	75%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	17	51%	-0.01	0	0.00	13	92%	0.09
Chris Carr	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.09	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Dickey Simpkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	7	41%	-0.06	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Matt Maloney	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	14	66%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	73%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	0.01	11	59%	0.08	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	5	60%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.33,-0.36	-0.36	-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	18	32%	-0.19	5	-0.17	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	63.3	2.7	27.2	15.7	23.2	1.7	40.4	174.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -6.1%

CHI +27.2%

CHI +17.8%

CHI +9.1%

CHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	18.9	15.2	15.2	104.8	95.3	101.7
season	16.5	14.9		91.8	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.9		102.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	20.3	22.3	17.2	16.2	18.9
SEA	14.0	14.8	17.9	14.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	53	54	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-3	13	18.2	19.9	-1.71	15.6	14.6	0.95
Metta World Peace	71	73	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	1	5	19.3	16.5	2.83	14.8	17.9	-3.11
Dickey Simpkins	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.47	-2	9	-11	19.4	16.5	2.91	15.3	15.2	0.09
Toni Kukoc	73	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	8	-9	19.5	14.8	4.65	15.4	14.6	0.72
Elton Brand	60	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	10	-13	18.5	19.7	-1.13	15.6	14.3	1.33
Chris Carr	21	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	-2	11	14.9	20.2	-5.33	16.7	14.7	2.00
Michael Ruffin	17	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.10	7	0	7	17.4	19.2	-1.81	16.1	15.0	1.11
Matt Maloney	31	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	10	-13	19.9	18.2	1.71	14.6	15.6	-0.95

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	42	44	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.16	14	-21	35	15.7	14.8	0.88	21.5	15.9	5.60
Shammond Williams	16	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	0	-7	14.7	15.4	-0.61	16.6	19.3	-2.75
Emanual Davis	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	0	-7	11.4	17.0	-5.57	18.7	18.9	-0.28
Horace Grant	75	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-6	5	15.9	10.1	5.83	18.8	19.0	-0.17
Gary Payton	77	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-5	3	15.7	10.5	5.24	18.8	19.5	-0.71
Rashard Lewis	25	24	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	7	-21	14.2	15.7	-1.54	18.8	18.9	-0.09
Jelani McCoy	27	25	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	1	-9	15.2	15.3	-0.09	20.2	18.3	1.85
Vin Baker	69	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-4	1	15.2	15.4	-0.16	18.7	19.7	-1.07
Brent Barry	67	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	0	-7	15.7	13.4	2.36	17.5	24.4	-6.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.15,0	93.4%
BKN 106, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.02,0	93.1%
MIN 101, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.16,0.02,0	92.5%