NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	7.7 [323]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +9.9%
Charlotte Hornets	90		Comeback	3.7 [443]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -12.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	12	69%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.00	0.10	0.00	7	44%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09	0.00	0.13	0.04	10	50%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	59%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.09	-0.02	20	51%	0.01	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.00
James Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	9	40%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	44%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	6	58%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	12	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	13	55%	-0.01	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	16	49%	0.02	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	27.9	15.5	25.3	2.5	41.5	142.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.1%

CLE +2.4%

CLE +28.2%

CHA -13.3%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	13.9	14.9	100.0	94.7	105.1
season	15.8	15.1		110.3	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	18.2	18.1	15.4	16.4
CHA	12.3	16.9	13.2	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	60	61	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-9	23	15.8	17.4	-1.59	14.0	13.8	0.19
Matthew Dellavedova	67	65	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-6	17	16.2	16.7	-0.44	14.2	13.4	0.85
Tristan Thompson	60	59	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	0	5	16.0	17.0	-1.05	13.3	15.0	-1.65
J.R. Smith	61	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.45	2	3	-1	16.4	16.4	-0.02	14.1	13.7	0.44
LeBron James	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.39	1	4	-3	16.7	15.1	1.54	14.2	13.1	1.09
Jared Cunningham	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	5	-5	0.0	16.5	-16.54	7.0	14.0	-7.02
James Jones	18	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	3	-1	13.3	17.1	-3.81	13.9	14.0	-0.09
Timofey Mozgov	35	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.09	0	5	-5	17.0	16.0	1.05	15.0	13.3	1.65
Mo Williams	41	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	8	-11	16.5	16.3	0.21	13.0	14.7	-1.61
Kevin Love	57	58	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	12	-19	17.9	14.1	3.82	13.9	14.0	-0.13

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Hairston	37	37	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-6	7	13.6	14.2	-0.53	17.7	15.5	2.19
Jeremy Lin	39	38	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-5	5	14.5	13.5	1.00	16.1	16.6	-0.53
Spencer Hawes	8	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-6	7	18.5	13.5	4.97	17.4	16.2	1.15
Marvin Williams	62	64	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-13	21	14.7	12.6	2.10	17.2	14.5	2.70
Cody Zeller	36	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	2	-9	11.4	15.5	-4.03	14.1	17.6	-3.46
Frank Kaminsky	39	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	4	-13	13.9	14.0	-0.08	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Al Jefferson	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-5	5	14.5	13.0	1.51	17.7	14.4	3.30
Kemba Walker	68	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.45	-4	-1	-3	13.9	14.0	-0.02	16.7	15.5	1.25
Jeremy Lamb	49	49	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	3	-11	13.9	14.0	-0.14	15.3	17.5	-2.28
Nicolas Batum	79	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	2	-9	13.6	15.9	-2.32	16.0	18.1	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, SEA 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.09,0	93.4%
SEA 95, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.29,0.15,0.17,0	92.5%
CHI 109, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.59,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.36,0.17,0.02,0	92.3%