NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	95		Excitement	7.4 [346]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +26.1%
Indiana Pacers	86		Comeback	3.3 [258]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -35.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26	0.10	0.16	-0.00	11	88%	0.37	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.04
Rashard Lewis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.09	-0.03	22	55%	0.05	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Shammond Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	11	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jerome James	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	9	70%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.07	-0.02	13	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	13	63%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.13
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.35	-0.35	-0.16	-0.20	-0.01	13	23%	-0.17	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	22.4	15.6	24.4	1.7	33.0	122.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -11.0%

SEA +26.6%

SEA +20.4%

SEA +14.2%

IND -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	NBA	SEA	IND	NBA
this game	17.7	15.8	15.6	110.5	100.0	102.3
season	16.0	15.3		106.3	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		100.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.4	19.1	16.8	17.7	17.7
IND	15.4	15.1	15.9	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	80	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-3	15	17.8	17.0	0.79	15.8	15.5	0.28
Desmond Mason	62	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	3	3	17.5	18.4	-0.95	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Brent Barry	71	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-1	11	17.9	17.1	0.73	15.7	16.3	-0.65
Rashard Lewis	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	1	7	17.7	18.2	-0.50	15.8	15.3	0.49
Predrag Drobnjak	33	32	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	0	9	17.7	17.8	-0.11	16.9	15.1	1.78
Art Long	53	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	3	3	17.3	18.5	-1.22	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Vladimir Radmanovic	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	17.3	17.9	-0.56	15.0	16.0	-0.92
Shammond Williams	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	17.2	17.8	-0.56	16.1	15.7	0.38
Jerome James	25	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.00	-5	14	-19	19.7	16.9	2.80	15.3	15.9	-0.59

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	19	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-13	17	16.1	15.7	0.38	17.1	17.9	-0.84
Jamaal Tinsley	39	38	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	-5	1	16.0	15.5	0.49	17.7	17.8	-0.13
Travis Best	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-10	11	16.0	15.6	0.39	18.9	17.0	1.87
Reggie Miller	67	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	15.1	18.1	-2.95	17.4	18.9	-1.59
Jeff Foster	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-8	7	15.5	16.4	-0.96	17.9	17.4	0.53
Jalen Rose	69	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.21	-13	4	-17	15.9	15.4	0.50	17.9	17.2	0.67
Jermaine O'Neal	68	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	3	-15	15.8	15.6	0.25	17.8	17.5	0.24
Jonathan Bender	75	76	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.20	-16	7	-23	16.1	13.4	2.74	17.5	19.6	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.29,0.15,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.15,0	92.5%
ORL 106, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.1,0,0	92.3%
HOU 98, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.17,0	91.9%