inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 114 Excitement11.2 [37] MVPTim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +33.8%
Sacramento Kings 110 Comeback7.5 [259] LVPDorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -43.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.340,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.340.120.230.011461%0.381-0.04887%0.07
Luka Doncic0.170,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.170.040.10-0.032458%0.306-0.131173%-0.07
Boban Marjanovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Antonius Cleveland-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.02-0.00553%0.114-0.14560%-0.08
Trey Burke-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.050.03-0.070.02558%-0.0500.002100%0.02
Justin Jackson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.050.00437%-0.0600.0000%0.00
J.J. Barea-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.01-0.00312%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis-0.140,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.100.011847%-0.023-0.121191%0.04
Delon Wright-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.05-0.160.0020%-0.171-0.0500%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.440,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.17,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.44-0.03-0.390.021346%-0.262-0.17978%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.08-0.00875%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Richaun Holmes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.00380%0.0800.00450%-0.03
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.02-0.031647%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00175%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Harry Giles III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.012100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.01643%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.000.052052%0.104-0.1600%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.07-0.150.01675%-0.0900.0000%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.31,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28-0.280.02-0.290.012750%-0.232-0.052100%0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.3-0.30-0.18-0.13-0.011510%-0.3000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game29.92.833.515.328.43.329.22.617.2162.2
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC -14.7%
DAL +44.0%
DAL +54.1%
SAC -29.1%
SAC -4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSACNBADALSACNBA
this game14.814.714.2106.5101.9109.6
season14.514.3115.2109.0
opponent14.514.1110.9111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL15.613.316.813.315.714.8
SAC12.714.414.518.612.714.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorian Finney-Smith83850.77-0.271.040.3913-92214.715.2-0.4215.013.91.05
Maxi Kleber59570.67-0.170.840.477-31014.715.0-0.3315.414.01.48
Luka Doncic88880.50-0.000.500.4131215.213.41.7914.515.9-1.42
Delon Wright33330.450.050.390.1211-71814.115.2-1.0816.214.12.08
Trey Burke47490.450.050.390.3922015.014.70.2114.215.2-1.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.83830.440.060.380.3822015.313.22.1614.715.0-0.34
Antonius Cleveland88-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-26-815.214.80.4412.514.9-2.42
Boban Marjanovic1516-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-26-813.515.1-1.5213.415.0-1.60
Justin Jackson3536-0.120.62-0.74-0.1513-212.615.9-3.3315.914.21.76
Kristaps Porzingis5556-0.220.72-0.94-0.07-59-1415.214.40.8114.415.1-0.69
J.J. Barea2929-0.300.80-1.09-0.00-1014-2416.214.31.9213.615.2-1.58

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bogdan Bogdanovic41420.14-0.640.78-0.015-91415.514.31.1614.315.2-0.88
Richaun Holmes53520.01-0.520.53-0.073-71014.514.9-0.4214.615.1-0.51
Alex Len88-0.01-0.490.470.04-2-2015.214.70.5512.615.0-2.40
Harry Giles III2627-0.06-0.440.39-0.060-4411.915.6-3.7115.914.51.45
Kent Bazemore4847-0.06-0.440.37-0.00-2-2014.215.1-0.9214.814.9-0.06
Harrison Barnes5453-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-40-416.413.13.2214.115.5-1.40
Nemanja Bjelica7170-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.28-3-1-215.713.02.6914.615.4-0.78
De'Aaron Fox7977-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.442-6814.814.70.0714.914.60.38
Cory Joseph8685-0.520.02-0.54-0.31-73-1014.814.60.1315.412.92.49
Buddy Hield6463-0.570.07-0.63-0.33-84-1213.816.1-2.3215.214.40.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.43,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 94, DET 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.45,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.22,0.15,090.4%
IND 96, MIL 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.16,089.3%
DEN 121, HOU 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.23,0,088.6%