NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	138		Excitement	15.2 [1]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +84.2%
Atlanta Hawks	143		Comeback	4.9 [317]		LVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): -16.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.84	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.84	0.29	0.57	0.02	26	73%	0.94	1	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.25	0.15	0.00	10	105%	0.40	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.09	0.20	-0.00	5	77%	0.29	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	8	61%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Devonte' Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	26	47%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.16
P.J. Washington	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	6	17%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	0.04	-0.20	0.00	8	55%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Miles Bridges	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	10	20%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.44	0.44	0.11	0.41	0.08	5	87%	0.46	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.07
John Collins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.20	0.22	0.03	13	82%	0.53	2	-0.14	8	50%	-0.07
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.00	14	69%	0.18	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	3	64%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.06
Trae Young	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.18,0.01,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,-0.08,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	25	57%	0.35	6	-0.28	4	75%	-0.17
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	13	52%	0.02	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	12	42%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	25.6	15.4	30.3	1.8	35.0	2.5	18.4	2.4	14.5	173.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.9%

CHA -8.7%

ATL +56.3%

CHA -28.2%

CHA -11.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	14.2	125.5	132.4	109.6
season	15.1	13.8		105.4	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.7		113.9	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	16.3	17.8	14.1	15.6	17.3	16.1
ATL	15.0	13.5	16.6	17.1	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	56	57	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.08	8	-13	21	16.9	15.4	1.58	15.2	16.4	-1.14
P.J. Washington	32	30	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.10	0	-5	5	15.5	16.4	-0.90	15.7	15.8	-0.02
Caleb Martin	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-7	9	15.8	16.6	-0.81	16.9	14.4	2.51
Bismack Biyombo	65	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.36	6	-11	17	16.1	16.2	-0.08	17.0	14.2	2.76
Cody Martin	66	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-1	-3	16.3	15.9	0.44	16.2	15.0	1.23
Terry Rozier	83	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-3	1	16.2	16.1	0.03	15.4	17.0	-1.57
Jalen McDaniels	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	3	-11	15.0	17.4	-2.35	15.2	16.3	-1.12
Devonte' Graham	87	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.5	14.9	1.59	15.4	17.0	-1.64
Cody Zeller	44	45	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.27	-16	11	-27	16.5	16.0	0.47	14.3	16.8	-2.50

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	80	85	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.65	9	-4	13	15.6	16.0	-0.39	16.0	16.8	-0.76
Dewayne Dedmon	52	53	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-15	35	15.8	15.7	0.11	16.3	16.1	0.21
De'Andre Hunter	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	2	1	15.1	17.0	-1.97	16.5	15.7	0.78
Kevin Huerter	85	86	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	5	-5	15.9	15.2	0.73	16.9	13.5	3.37
John Collins	86	86	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	6	-7	15.6	16.2	-0.60	16.0	16.9	-0.95
Jeff Teague	26	26	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	2	1	17.4	15.2	2.20	16.2	16.2	0.03
Cam Reddish	74	77	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	9	-13	15.9	15.5	0.32	15.8	17.1	-1.27
Bruno Fernando	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	5	-5	15.0	15.8	-0.81	20.2	15.9	4.40
Vince Carter	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	16.9	15.3	1.54	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Treveon Graham	31	30	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.21	-5	10	-15	14.9	16.1	-1.19	14.9	16.6	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.29,0.27,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.16,0.27,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.43,0.83,1	89.8%
MIL 102, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.72,0.68,0.27,0	88.5%
NYK 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,0	88.3%