inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 101 Excitement2.7 [1075] MVPJonas Valanciunas (MEM): +14.9%
Memphis Grizzlies 118 Comeback1.2 [962] LVPDe'Andre Hunter (ATL): -10.0%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Collins0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.170.000.111669%0.0600.00786%-0.00
Jeff Teague0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01853%0.0300.003100%0.01
Cam Reddish0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.05575%0.0200.002100%0.01
Damian Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01462%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Bruno Fernando-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Huerter-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.041150%0.024-0.0300%0.00
Vince Carter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01736%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Treveon Graham-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.05560%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.041123%-0.0500.004100%0.01
Trae Young-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.160.00-0.071639%-0.015-0.08978%0.02
De'Andre Hunter-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.170.00-0.071124%-0.044-0.06367%-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.190.000.051375%0.1500.001070%0.00
De'Anthony Melton0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.021065%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02786%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Josh Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.00-0.051545%0.051-0.02850%-0.01
John Konchar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04333%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Dillon Brooks0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.051537%0.001-0.00560%-0.01
Marko Guduric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarrod Uthoff00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yuta Watanabe00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01550%0.001-0.012100%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.04440%0.002-0.0220%-0.01
Ja Morant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.070.000.091280%0.066-0.08667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.429.214.728.62.428.5130.3
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +49.2%
ATL -6.6%
MEM +6.2%
MEM +0.2%
MEM +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMEMNBAATLMEMNBA
this game13.213.714.295.3109.3109.6
season13.813.8106.6108.2
opponent13.914.0109.2113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.112.612.213.013.2
MEM12.114.113.015.813.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Goodwin16160.00-0.500.50-0.062-192112.913.3-0.3217.913.04.90
Damian Jones88-0.06-0.440.370.08-5-12714.713.11.6713.413.7-0.36
Vince Carter3840-0.09-0.410.32-0.328-253313.013.3-0.3216.212.24.00
Bruno Fernando1616-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-3-141113.913.10.8613.313.8-0.46
Treveon Graham3233-0.11-0.390.280.18-10-7-313.313.20.1113.313.9-0.62
Jeff Teague4040-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-7-314.412.51.8714.513.21.22
Cam Reddish2627-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-12-5-714.112.91.2012.814.0-1.19
De'Andre Hunter6667-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-9112.414.5-2.1213.414.2-0.79
Dewayne Dedmon5050-0.29-0.21-0.080.21-170-1714.012.51.5012.514.7-2.17
Trae Young6869-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-3-1113.113.4-0.3712.715.4-2.71
Kevin Huerter8384-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.13-8-9112.615.5-2.9013.913.10.74
John Collins8790-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.17-8-9113.113.7-0.6413.514.8-1.29

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dillon Brooks64620.370.130.23-0.2220-32312.914.9-2.0713.512.80.63
Jonas Valanciunas75730.350.150.20-0.061431113.214.8-1.5212.913.8-0.84
Kyle Anderson69680.340.160.19-0.2119-22113.014.9-1.9113.213.2-0.05
Ja Morant72720.340.160.19-0.101521313.613.9-0.2412.814.0-1.12
De'Anthony Melton69680.300.200.09-0.141521313.214.5-1.3113.113.5-0.41
Tyus Jones41390.210.29-0.080.06512-713.613.8-0.1514.212.61.54
Josh Jackson47450.180.32-0.140.21-118-1914.513.11.4313.213.20.06
Gorgui Dieng40390.170.33-0.150.17017-1714.413.31.1913.712.90.73
Anthony Tolliver31300.130.37-0.240.10116-1515.113.21.9113.313.20.18
John Konchar29280.100.40-0.290.19-320-2315.013.21.7712.613.4-0.82
Marko Guduric120.000.50-0.500.00017-1724.013.610.3912.513.2-0.72
Jarrod Uthoff120.000.50-0.500.00017-1724.013.610.3912.513.2-0.72
Yuta Watanabe120.000.50-0.500.00017-1724.013.610.3912.513.2-0.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 81, HOU 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
UTA 96, OKC 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CHI 89, MIN 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%