inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 96 Excitement2.0 [1291] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +15.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder 116 Comeback1.0 [1311] LVPAlec Burks (UTA): -6.1%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.031265%0.071-0.012100%0.00
Marvin Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.02664%0.0300.002100%0.01
John Lucas III0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rudy Gobert0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Rush-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0720%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Ian Clark-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01462%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Diante Garrett-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.051350%-0.022-0.016100%0.00
Trey Burke-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04714%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Enes Kanter-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.000.061358%-0.023-0.03580%0.00
Derrick Favors-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.051230%-0.022-0.03367%-0.00
Alec Burks-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.021046%-0.032-0.04633%-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.260.000.111389%0.182-0.029100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.021161%0.072-0.039100%0.03
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.150.000.11894%0.0400.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01580%0.032-0.0100%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.041357%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Steven Adams0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01667%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.06440%0.022-0.01250%-0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02844%0.011-0.01250%-0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.001100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.827.116.429.42.427.5130.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +39.0%
OKC +6.0%
OKC +0.5%
OKC +3.1%
OKC +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAOKCNBAUTAOKCNBA
this game16.514.215.1103.2122.1105.2
season16.214.4102.1107.8
opponent15.414.8102.9109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA18.117.513.616.916.5
OKC14.013.815.213.814.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Lucas III990.00-0.500.50-0.062-222416.716.40.2314.614.20.39
Brandon Rush1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-222415.916.5-0.6314.814.10.70
Rudy Gobert1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-222415.916.5-0.6314.814.10.70
Jeremy Evans1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-222415.916.5-0.6314.814.10.70
Ian Clark1112-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-191816.916.40.5114.714.10.63
Diante Garrett1717-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-161218.815.92.8913.514.4-0.89
Alec Burks4344-0.20-0.300.09-0.14-2-181615.317.5-2.2414.114.3-0.12
Marvin Williams4949-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-8-12416.017.0-1.0213.814.7-0.92
Enes Kanter6262-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-6-816.117.1-0.9514.413.80.54
Gordon Hayward6566-0.37-0.13-0.250.04-14-6-816.217.1-0.8714.314.00.34
Derrick Favors6870-0.38-0.12-0.260.00-13-7-616.217.3-1.1214.214.10.16
Trey Burke5456-0.38-0.12-0.260.41-277-3417.115.61.4614.214.10.12
Richard Jefferson5757-0.42-0.08-0.340.31-255-3017.714.53.1613.914.7-0.76

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook47470.350.150.20-0.211911814.114.3-0.1917.115.81.35
Kevin Durant58580.340.160.180.041010014.014.5-0.5615.817.5-1.64
Serge Ibaka62610.340.160.17-0.101551013.914.7-0.7616.516.40.04
Hasheem Thabeet38360.280.220.060.02911-213.914.4-0.4216.716.30.42
Andre Roberson35350.260.240.02-0.181551014.913.81.0417.016.10.91
Jeremy Lamb43420.250.250.00-0.16146814.214.20.0217.615.52.02
Steven Adams34340.240.26-0.01-0.201551014.614.00.6016.916.20.75
Caron Butler54510.150.35-0.200.12119-1814.014.5-0.4615.917.2-1.33
Derek Fisher37360.150.35-0.200.06317-1414.114.2-0.1115.716.9-1.16
Nick Collison48480.140.36-0.220.14020-2014.513.90.5615.717.2-1.52
Reggie Williams11100.000.50-0.500.06-222-2414.814.10.7015.916.5-0.63
Perry Jones870.000.50-0.50-0.03119-1814.114.2-0.0817.716.41.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 81, IND 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
MIN 86, LAL 1100.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
LAL 114, SAC 1320.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%