NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	6.7 [497]		MVP	Harry Giles III (SAC): +16.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	2.8 [280]		LVP	Tyus Jones (MEM): -11.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harry Giles III	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.09	-0.03	14	57%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	19	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	9	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09	0.01	0.11	0.04	12	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Cory Joseph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	41%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	39%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	-0.00	-0.00	22	65%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	17	49%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	41%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.4	14.8	27.2	2.3	39.3	137.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +37.6%

SAC +1.2%

MEM -9.7%

SAC +20.2%

SAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	13.5	14.2	104.0	98.1	109.6
season	14.3	13.8		109.0	108.2
opponent	13.9	14.5		109.2	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	13.3	14.9	16.6	14.7
MEM	13.3	14.9	13.4	12.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	-2	7	14.1	16.3	-2.25	13.9	12.5	1.34
Harrison Barnes	68	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	-3	9	14.4	15.4	-1.02	13.4	13.5	-0.09
Buddy Hield	48	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	-5	13	14.8	14.6	0.16	13.5	13.4	0.16
Bogdan Bogdanovic	57	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	4	-5	14.5	15.0	-0.43	13.2	13.8	-0.67
De'Aaron Fox	71	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	5	-7	14.3	15.8	-1.53	13.5	13.4	0.05
Harry Giles III	61	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	9	-15	15.5	13.5	1.92	14.4	12.0	2.34
Kent Bazemore	59	61	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-3	6	-9	15.8	13.1	2.73	13.0	14.1	-1.04
Alex Len	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	0	3	13.7	15.3	-1.59	12.2	14.2	-1.98

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	19.5	12.9	6.55	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Yuta Watanabe	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	19.5	12.9	6.55	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Josh Jackson	52	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-4	5	12.6	14.3	-1.70	14.9	14.6	0.30
Gorgui Dieng	48	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	1	-5	13.3	13.6	-0.23	14.9	14.5	0.38
Jonas Valanciunas	70	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-9	15	13.3	13.7	-0.35	14.3	15.5	-1.17
Tyus Jones	43	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	4	-11	12.3	14.3	-2.06	14.5	14.9	-0.36
Dillon Brooks	86	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-6	9	13.3	14.1	-0.79	14.4	16.6	-2.21
De'Anthony Melton	52	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.51	6	-9	15	13.0	13.9	-0.84	15.2	14.2	0.94
Ja Morant	76	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-2	1	13.9	12.2	1.67	15.1	13.7	1.33
Kyle Anderson	72	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	4	-11	13.6	13.1	0.56	14.7	14.7	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0	94.0%
CLE 94, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0,0	93.7%
NOH 100, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	93.6%