inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 100 Excitement7.3 [358] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +11.2%
Washington Wizards 94 Comeback2.1 [243] LVPLarry Hughes (WAS): -37.3%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.110.050.060.001760%0.131-0.021191%0.05
Desmond Mason0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.001264%0.132-0.084100%0.02
Toni Kukoc0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.030.00-0.00275%0.0300.00475%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00362%0.011-0.02250%-0.02
Daniel Santiago-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tim Thomas-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.060.02-0.070.021566%0.084-0.15580%-0.00
Brian Skinner-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.011043%-0.0600.0030%-0.08
Damon Jones-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Joe Smith-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.010.00828%-0.051-0.03250%-0.01
T.J. Ford-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.01633%-0.092-0.05667%-0.02

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.01482%0.051-0.03333%-0.03
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00367%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00570%0.082-0.0700%0.00
Mitchell Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.000100%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01350%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Christian Laettner0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.01470%0.021-0.05250%-0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.03-0.100.011170%0.023-0.101182%0.01
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.07-0.01837%-0.013-0.1400%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.10-0.11-0.021843%-0.083-0.11650%-0.05
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.3,-0.33,-0.37,-0.39,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.37-0.37-0.26-0.12-0.012327%-0.254-0.13580%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.632.415.727.22.835.2141.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +24.7%
MIL +6.3%
WAS -11.0%
MIL +24.7%
MIL +5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILWASNBAMILWASNBA
this game14.915.115.7104.297.9100.5
season15.315.2103.696.4
opponent15.315.5102.4103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.813.817.613.114.9
WAS17.613.913.715.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Desmond Mason60600.58-0.080.660.329-31214.016.5-2.4414.116.7-2.58
Michael Redd65640.430.070.360.2851415.314.21.1114.715.8-1.09
Dan Gadzuric37380.340.160.190.118-21015.214.80.3514.915.1-0.17
T.J. Ford59610.330.170.160.2433016.013.32.6415.414.50.89
Brian Skinner56540.260.240.020.32-28-1015.114.70.3415.913.92.04
Damon Jones39370.210.29-0.080.0360612.716.5-3.7614.215.6-1.45
Toni Kukoc28280.140.36-0.21-0.0360612.615.9-3.3013.015.9-2.90
Tim Thomas73740.130.37-0.230.19-28-1015.214.30.8515.812.73.07
Joe Smith59610.080.42-0.340.14-28-1016.412.63.8715.713.91.84
Daniel Santiago43-0.010.51-0.510.02-17-816.214.91.3620.014.95.11

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brendan Haywood3131-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-91217.314.03.3117.313.83.41
Jared Jeffries3939-0.04-0.460.41-0.195-111615.215.00.1715.514.60.95
Mitchell Butler98-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-3016.114.91.1714.915.0-0.08
Steve Blake3836-0.10-0.400.29-0.162-81015.814.61.1816.613.92.71
Etan Thomas4546-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-4214.115.9-1.7715.214.70.43
Kwame Brown6364-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.23-4-2-214.516.2-1.7214.316.2-1.81
Jarvis Hayes4342-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.15-71-814.215.8-1.5714.415.4-0.92
Larry Hughes8484-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.32-4-2-215.015.7-0.7015.114.01.08
Gilbert Arenas7072-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.16-104-1414.815.8-1.0413.918.0-4.01
Christian Laettner5858-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.16-104-1415.614.21.4814.216.1-1.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 94, NJN 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0,094.8%
CHI 97, SAS 880.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,0,094.1%
PHI 78, DET 760.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.04,094.1%