NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	78		Excitement	6.7 [452]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +22.7%
Detroit Pistons	76		Comeback	1.9 [283]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -39.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	0.00	16	64%	0.26	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	11	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	16	50%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	14	34%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	10	35%	-0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.00	0.01	21	66%	0.23	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	15	42%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.39	-0.39	-0.10	-0.29	-0.00	10	36%	-0.32	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.6	15.6	26.2	2.4	39.0	135.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +51.4%

DET -6.2%

DET -1.7%

PHI +2.0%

PHI +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	16.6	15.7	89.7	89.4	100.5
season	16.2	16.2		96.7	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.8		92.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.6	16.6	14.8	18.8	16.9
DET	18.4	17.7	16.5	13.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	70	70	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-6	14	17.3	15.5	1.74	16.6	16.2	0.43
Eric Snow	71	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	-1	4	17.3	15.1	2.21	16.8	15.4	1.37
Derrick Coleman	59	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-5	12	17.7	15.4	2.32	17.3	15.0	2.28
Samuel Dalembert	49	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.46	-5	7	-12	17.0	16.9	0.11	15.2	18.4	-3.28
Kenny Thomas	65	60	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	4	-6	17.0	16.6	0.39	17.2	15.0	2.26
John Salmons	46	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	0	2	16.3	17.7	-1.38	16.1	17.1	-0.90
Amal McCaskill	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	0	2	15.9	17.5	-1.60	16.1	16.8	-0.73
Greg Buckner	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	5	-8	15.0	18.0	-2.95	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Kyle Korver	15	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	4	-6	17.9	16.7	1.13	17.5	16.4	1.04

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	22	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-6	10	15.7	16.9	-1.18	18.0	16.5	1.42
Chucky Atkins	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-3	4	16.0	16.8	-0.71	15.0	17.7	-2.71
Tremaine Fowlkes	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	1	-4	15.4	16.7	-1.23	11.5	17.3	-5.83
Bob Sura	13	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	0	-2	14.8	16.9	-2.01	15.1	17.2	-2.14
Corliss Williamson	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	3	-8	18.5	15.5	2.96	15.6	17.6	-1.98
Mehmet Okur	49	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-4	6	15.9	17.5	-1.59	16.0	18.1	-2.08
Tayshaun Prince	72	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-2	2	16.9	14.8	2.01	17.2	15.1	2.14
Ben Wallace	68	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	2	-6	16.7	15.9	0.84	17.8	13.2	4.51
Chauncey Billups	74	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-2	2	16.6	16.0	0.64	17.4	13.0	4.44
Richard Hamilton	66	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.42	-3	1	-4	16.5	16.7	-0.17	17.6	15.0	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, CHH 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.09,0	94.4%
MIL 100, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0	94.1%
BOS 105, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.07,0,0,0	93.7%