NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	100		Excitement	6.4 [528]		MVP	David West (NOH): +9.1%
Orlando Magic	91		Comeback	3.4 [129]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -23.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	11	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	15	50%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
George Lynch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.08	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.03
Baron Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	25	39%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.04	20	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	62%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	13	35%	-0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.05
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	19	36%	-0.14	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	486.8	2.3	30.4	16.8	24.3	2.5	33.4	596.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +37.1%

NOH +6.3%

ORL -9.9%

NOH +11.6%

NOH +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	ORL	NBA	NOH	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	13.5	15.7	100.0	88.3	100.5
season	16.0	15.7		99.3	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.2	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	13.7	14.8	14.8	14.9
ORL	13.3	13.0	14.6	12.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	53	53	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-4	17	14.4	15.6	-1.20	12.0	15.0	-3.00
David Wesley	73	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	4	1	15.2	14.1	1.14	13.4	13.8	-0.40
Baron Davis	88	90	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	1	7	14.9	15.4	-0.54	13.6	12.5	1.05
P.J. Brown	68	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	2	5	14.3	16.4	-2.11	14.2	11.7	2.52
Stacey Augmon	41	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-1	11	14.1	15.5	-1.47	12.9	13.9	-0.99
George Lynch	57	59	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.36	-4	13	-17	16.0	13.5	2.55	13.9	12.9	0.99
Sean Rooks	9	9	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.12	7	2	5	13.3	15.1	-1.77	12.7	13.5	-0.87
Darrell Armstrong	41	38	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.18	8	1	7	13.9	15.7	-1.80	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Robert Traylor	13	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	16.2	14.8	1.40	13.5	13.4	0.09
Jamaal Magloire	57	60	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.24	-11	20	-31	16.2	13.2	3.04	13.9	12.8	1.10

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	28	27	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.27	12	-21	33	15.5	12.7	2.86	18.7	13.5	5.21
Andrew DeClercq	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-10	11	14.6	13.4	1.20	13.4	15.1	-1.71
Tyronn Lue	62	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-9	9	12.9	14.3	-1.35	15.7	13.8	1.94
Donnell Harvey	19	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	2	-13	13.0	13.6	-0.56	13.7	15.2	-1.49
Juwan Howard	62	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	13.9	12.9	1.00	14.6	15.5	-0.98
Rod Strickland	41	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	0	-9	14.3	12.9	1.35	13.8	15.7	-1.94
Zaza Pachulia	46	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	8	-25	12.2	14.4	-2.20	13.4	16.1	-2.71
Tracy McGrady	92	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	13.4	13.5	-0.10	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Gordan Giricek	95	93	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-8	7	13.6	12.2	1.31	15.3	10.6	4.70
Drew Gooden	61	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	12.9	14.3	-1.48	15.0	14.9	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 116, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	93.6%
SAC 118, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.03,0.09,0.02,0	93.5%
ORL 97, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%