NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	137		Excitement	10.0 [86]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +29.5%
Washington Wizards	134		Comeback	6.1 [427]		LVP	Troy Brown Jr. (WAS): -12.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.18	-0.00	11	82%	0.46	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.07
Robin Lopez	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.00	5	110%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.12,-0.04,-0.11,-0.25,-0.32,-0.13,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	28	62%	0.25	2	-0.10	8	100%	0.09
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Donte DiVincenzo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	69%	0.18	8	-0.24	8	75%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.18,0.56,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.27	0.27	0.23	0.11	0.07	33	72%	0.80	9	-0.53	10	90%	0.07
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	3	57%	0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	59%	0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.15	-0.04	0.07	17	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Jerome Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.05	11	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	12	43%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.4	1.6	30.3	14.5	28.5	2.5	33.3	2.4	17.2	157.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +35.6%

MIL +11.7%

MIL +7.7%

WAS -4.0%

WAS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.4	13.5	14.2	116.1	112.6	109.6
season	13.2	13.7		111.0	109.8
opponent	14.0	14.1		114.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	13.1	14.7	12.0	14.2	12.5	13.4
WAS	13.1	13.5	14.7	12.5	13.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	87	89	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.40	6	-3	9	13.4	13.4	0.04	14.1	11.6	2.52
Robin Lopez	70	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-4	11	13.4	13.4	-0.02	14.6	11.7	2.93
Eric Bledsoe	75	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	-12	27	12.7	14.6	-1.89	14.3	12.2	2.12
Giannis Antetokounmpo	54	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	-11	25	12.9	13.8	-0.87	14.9	12.2	2.65
Wesley Matthews	51	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-5	13	13.7	13.1	0.57	15.2	12.2	3.01
George Hill	52	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.61	-13	16	-29	14.6	12.5	2.10	12.1	14.6	-2.43
Donte DiVincenzo	66	68	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	8	-13	13.1	13.7	-0.59	12.1	15.3	-3.19
Marvin Williams	54	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.28	-6	9	-15	13.2	13.5	-0.36	12.0	14.6	-2.66
Pat Connaughton	34	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	4	-5	12.7	13.7	-0.99	11.5	14.2	-2.74
Sterling Brown	10	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	2	-1	15.1	13.2	1.88	14.9	13.3	1.60
Ersan Ilyasova	37	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	14	-25	14.3	13.0	1.33	11.4	14.3	-2.88

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moritz Wagner	66	65	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.12	11	-14	25	12.3	14.8	-2.52	13.9	12.8	1.14
Troy Brown Jr.	50	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.34	9	-12	21	11.4	15.0	-3.58	13.6	13.2	0.34
Jerome Robinson	40	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-4	5	12.8	13.8	-0.95	13.8	13.1	0.69
Shabazz Napier	81	81	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-10	17	12.7	15.1	-2.46	13.7	12.6	1.11
Ish Smith	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	5	-13	14.2	12.8	1.39	13.0	13.8	-0.78
Rui Hachimura	102	99	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-3	3	13.9	11.1	2.79	13.6	12.2	1.46
Bradley Beal	91	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	1	-5	13.9	12.1	1.71	13.5	12.9	0.60
Ian Mahinmi	53	53	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	11	-25	14.8	12.3	2.52	12.8	13.9	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.74,0.54,0.39,0.69,0.78,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.28,0	89.8%
MIA 94, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.15,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.78,0.31,0	87.9%
DAL 115, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	87.3%