inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 115 Excitement11.7 [16] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +63.8%
Milwaukee Bucks 113 Comeback6.7 [157] LVPJason Kidd (DAL): -23.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.640,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.33,0.640.120.52-0.002555%0.6400.00887%0.06
Drew Gooden0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.330.140.200.011371%0.351-0.03580%0.00
Shawn Marion0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.01475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.00357%0.041-0.0210%-0.01
Jose Juan Barea0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.03-0.00869%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.04-0.01960%0.022-0.03250%-0.01
James Singleton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.2,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.1,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001456%0.154-0.18683%0.02
Quinton Ross-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Kidd-0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.05-0.20-0.02764%0.025-0.2600%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.230.230.060.170.011368%0.373-0.14250%-0.07
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.180.180.030.14-0.011152%0.191-0.02367%0.07
Brandon Jennings0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.050.05-0.000.05-0.012248%0.112-0.05862%-0.08
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.00756%0.0400.002100%0.01
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.04729%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.000.001250%0.052-0.06250%-0.02
Charlie Bell0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00350%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.150.09-0.240.001461%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.22.427.215.426.41.831.11.815.8145.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +60.7%
DAL +2.3%
DAL +17.7%
MIL -31.3%
DAL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMILNBADALMILNBA
this game16.014.915.3110.6110.8106.0
season15.215.5107.2103.3
opponent15.515.5101.8104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL14.417.315.917.014.816.0
MIL15.014.015.415.613.814.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki85810.88-0.381.250.5013-112415.916.5-0.6115.612.13.46
Rodrigue Beaubois48480.85-0.351.210.4713-112415.216.6-1.3415.614.31.27
Jason Kidd77770.56-0.060.620.396-41015.916.2-0.2915.313.61.66
Jason Terry73720.380.120.250.41-13-416.414.91.5714.116.7-2.61
Drew Gooden77780.290.210.080.32-13-415.916.3-0.4415.213.91.33
Kris Humphries34310.110.39-0.280.0520216.315.80.4814.015.3-1.28
Shawn Marion29290.080.42-0.34-0.044-2615.016.3-1.3015.014.80.15
Quinton Ross3937-0.000.50-0.510.11-46-1016.415.70.6215.614.51.14
James Singleton56-0.200.70-0.900.01-79-1617.615.91.717.715.3-7.68
Jose Juan Barea5351-0.450.95-1.39-0.01-1517-3216.315.60.6713.915.9-1.94

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ersan Ilyasova61640.38-0.881.27-0.1418-203814.216.0-1.8116.814.72.07
Dan Gadzuric18190.31-0.811.12-0.1315-173212.815.3-2.5016.016.00.04
Kurt Thomas88-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-2216.414.81.6117.615.81.79
Luke Ridnour6568-0.12-0.380.25-0.5314-163014.315.9-1.5316.215.60.55
Jodie Meeks2525-0.22-0.280.06-0.13-31-414.615.0-0.3915.916.0-0.07
Hakim Warrick2424-0.23-0.270.050.12-1210-2217.314.13.1914.316.5-2.18
Luc Mbah a Moute8183-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.527-91614.117.8-3.6716.314.61.69
Carlos Delfino3433-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-1311-2416.014.31.7115.916.0-0.05
Brandon Jennings7777-0.510.01-0.51-0.30-75-1214.815.1-0.2516.016.0-0.04
Charlie Bell4142-0.660.16-0.81-0.31-1210-2216.314.02.3014.816.8-1.95
Andrew Bogut7677-0.790.29-1.08-0.29-1715-3215.213.91.3015.816.5-0.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 107, TOR 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.42,090.7%
LAL 98, HOU 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.21,0.22,0.37,090.6%
LAL 105, UTA 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,089.9%