NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	5.8 [637]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +42.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	129		Comeback	1.2 [933]		LVP	Cam Reddish (ATL): -6.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	15	55%	0.20	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
John Collins	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	16	62%	0.13	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trae Young	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	22	56%	0.15	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Dewayne Dedmon	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.32	0.17	0.06	24	78%	0.46	4	-0.04	15	93%	0.09
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.07	-0.00	18	62%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	28.8	14.0	30.0	2.5	32.4	136.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.4%

PHI +1.1%

PHI +3.7%

PHI +9.0%

PHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.7	15.2	14.2	108.7	125.2	109.6
season	13.8	14.8		106.6	110.0
opponent	14.1	14.0		108.5	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	13.1	11.8	12.8	12.7
PHI	13.6	15.2	18.2	14.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	12	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-19	21	11.9	12.8	-0.91	19.5	14.7	4.72
Bruno Fernando	45	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-19	21	12.8	12.7	0.11	15.0	15.4	-0.46
John Collins	82	82	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-13	9	12.9	12.0	0.90	15.7	13.4	2.34
De'Andre Hunter	84	85	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-10	3	12.3	14.5	-2.15	15.6	13.7	1.84
Jeff Teague	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-10	3	13.2	12.5	0.70	14.6	15.7	-1.09
Dewayne Dedmon	29	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-6	-5	12.9	12.6	0.30	15.6	15.1	0.53
Treveon Graham	17	17	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-8	-1	11.1	13.0	-1.92	13.9	15.5	-1.63
Cam Reddish	48	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-7	-3	12.3	13.1	-0.76	14.3	16.2	-1.93
Trae Young	77	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	0	-17	13.1	11.5	1.63	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Kevin Huerter	82	81	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.01	-24	7	-31	12.9	11.9	1.02	15.2	15.4	-0.15

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	56	55	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.08	21	-4	25	14.7	15.9	-1.24	13.7	11.5	2.20
Joel Embiid	79	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-2	21	14.9	16.3	-1.42	12.7	12.6	0.10
Al Horford	65	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.03	19	-2	21	15.6	14.6	1.05	13.1	12.1	1.01
Tobias Harris	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.09	21	-4	25	15.6	14.4	1.22	12.7	12.6	0.12
Josh Richardson	84	84	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	8	1	15.2	15.3	-0.03	12.5	13.6	-1.12
Furkan Korkmaz	68	68	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	9	-1	14.5	16.6	-2.06	12.7	12.8	-0.12
Matisse Thybulle	23	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	14	-11	16.3	14.9	1.31	11.2	13.2	-2.01
Glenn Robinson III	31	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	20	-23	14.7	15.5	-0.72	11.8	13.1	-1.30
Alec Burks	34	33	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.12	-12	29	-41	16.6	14.6	2.10	12.8	12.7	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 79, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.3%
TOR 97, SEA 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.2%
DAL 80, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%