NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	79		Excitement	4.9 [821]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +17.2%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.1 [971]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -16.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	78%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Eddie Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	67%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Baron Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.02	-0.04	16	47%	0.06	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.02	18	53%	0.02	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	11	25%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	10	85%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	16	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	47%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	14	46%	-0.01	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	26.5	16.4	27.6	2.4	31.2	129.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +58.3%

CHH -9.2%

CHH -2.4%

NYK +0.5%

NYK +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	17.1	15.2	82.3	97.8	101.7
season	14.9	16.1		101.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		98.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.1	11.8	12.7	16.0	13.4
NYK	15.2	18.2	18.6	16.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	26	25	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-15	18	13.7	13.3	0.34	16.7	17.3	-0.61
Ricky Davis	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-10	8	14.9	13.1	1.84	15.9	17.4	-1.43
Baron Davis	42	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-10	8	13.4	13.4	-0.09	16.7	17.5	-0.80
Eddie Robinson	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-7	2	12.1	13.7	-1.59	15.3	17.5	-2.14
Derrick Coleman	87	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-5	-2	13.2	15.4	-2.25	17.5	13.9	3.62
Anthony Mason	86	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-3	-6	13.5	12.6	0.90	17.3	15.9	1.38
Eddie Jones	80	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	0	-12	13.1	14.9	-1.84	17.3	16.2	1.08
David Wesley	68	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	-1	-10	13.3	13.7	-0.49	17.6	15.9	1.75
Elden Campbell	60	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	3	-18	14.0	12.4	1.58	16.8	17.6	-0.77

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	65	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-4	20	16.6	18.4	-1.86	13.5	13.2	0.29
Marcus Camby	63	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	0	12	17.2	16.9	0.29	13.5	13.1	0.41
Latrell Sprewell	79	80	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	2	8	17.5	15.3	2.17	13.5	12.8	0.71
Kurt Thomas	58	60	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	4	4	16.9	17.5	-0.57	14.3	11.9	2.43
Charlie Ward	48	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-1	14	17.1	17.2	-0.09	12.9	14.0	-1.12
Larry Johnson	46	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	7	-2	16.5	17.8	-1.29	14.1	12.7	1.31
Chris Childs	45	48	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	11	-10	17.2	17.1	0.09	13.7	13.1	0.56
Patrick Ewing	48	49	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	16	-20	17.9	16.3	1.67	12.0	14.8	-2.79
John Wallace	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	13	-14	17.8	17.0	0.74	11.3	13.8	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 80, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
BOS 92, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SAS 104, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%