NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	104		Excitement	5.3 [732]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +24.4%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.2 [823]		LVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): -12.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.06	22	67%	0.21	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.02	13	73%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	9	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	52%	0.01	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Manu Ginobili	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.10	-0.05	21	57%	0.26	1	-0.02	7	57%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.04	0.02	9	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	75%	0.14	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	20	60%	0.13	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	17	49%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	6	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	31.0	15.8	22.4	2.4	29.7	128.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.0%

SAS -9.4%

PHX +7.8%

PHX +0.9%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	14.9	15.3	108.3	122.1	106.0
season	15.9	14.4		108.2	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.4	16.2	14.3	15.2	15.3
PHX	14.0	13.2	15.1	17.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	50	49	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.24	13	-25	38	14.2	16.4	-2.25	14.7	15.1	-0.41
George Hill	45	46	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.35	15	-27	42	14.1	16.3	-2.25	16.6	13.3	3.32
Malik Hairston	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	12.5	15.4	-2.88	20.4	14.6	5.81
Roger Mason Jr.	67	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-15	18	14.5	17.0	-2.49	15.6	13.3	2.28
Manu Ginobili	63	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-13	14	14.6	16.5	-1.96	14.9	14.8	0.08
Keith Bogans	21	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	0	-12	17.0	14.8	2.17	15.3	14.8	0.51
DeJuan Blair	21	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-6	0	15.4	15.2	0.15	18.5	13.8	4.69
Tim Duncan	75	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-6	0	15.2	15.4	-0.15	13.8	18.5	-4.69
Antonio McDyess	35	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	7	-26	16.8	14.4	2.47	13.3	15.8	-2.59
Richard Jefferson	43	42	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.07	-22	10	-32	16.7	14.1	2.52	14.0	15.6	-1.56
Tony Parker	56	54	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	0.10	-28	16	-44	16.4	13.7	2.63	13.8	16.3	-2.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	47	48	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	0	12	16.6	13.2	3.37	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-1	14	14.8	15.6	-0.88	15.4	14.1	1.37
Steve Nash	74	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-1	14	14.7	15.4	-0.69	14.9	16.7	-1.86
Jared Dudley	65	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	7	-2	15.6	13.3	2.38	14.8	16.2	-1.42
Grant Hill	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	5	2	14.5	16.0	-1.55	16.1	13.0	3.10
Channing Frye	65	66	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	4	4	14.6	15.5	-0.88	15.1	15.6	-0.45
Jason Richardson	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	6	0	13.9	15.8	-1.83	15.7	14.9	0.85
Lou Amundson	14	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	10	-8	16.9	14.6	2.30	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Robin Lopez	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	14	-16	13.4	15.0	-1.60	15.9	15.2	0.69
Earl Clark	5	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	16	-20	8.6	15.2	-6.64	18.0	15.1	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MEM 92, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
NYK 94, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%