NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	4.7 [870]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +12.8%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.1 [1119]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -16.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.03	22	70%	0.25	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	70%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.03	0.09	5	100%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	16	35%	-0.12	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.06	0.04	13	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	12	79%	0.11	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	7	67%	0.03	6	-0.10	7	86%	-0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	0.04	10	58%	-0.01	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	28.4	16.6	23.5	2.5	31.4	130.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.5%

IND +16.7%

IND +13.0%

IND +4.2%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	15.5	94.0	107.0	101.6
season	15.6	15.4		102.6	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.2	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	14.2	14.8	14.8	14.8
IND	11.3	14.0	15.2	15.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	38	38	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-18	23	14.8	14.7	0.10	14.7	13.6	1.07
Clar. Weatherspoon	34	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-7	1	14.7	14.8	-0.11	12.9	14.6	-1.66
Travis Knight	27	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-6	-1	14.9	14.7	0.20	12.8	14.4	-1.64
Howard Eisley	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-9	5	14.1	15.2	-1.07	15.2	13.3	1.92
Charlie Ward	63	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	15.2	14.1	1.07	13.3	15.2	-1.92
Kurt Thomas	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-3	-7	14.8	14.6	0.22	14.4	12.8	1.57
Shandon Anderson	82	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-3	-7	14.6	15.7	-1.08	14.1	13.4	0.73
Lee Nailon	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-2	-9	14.8	14.7	0.18	14.4	13.5	0.82
Allan Houston	85	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.13	-13	0	-13	14.8	14.5	0.29	13.8	15.0	-1.17

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	83	83	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.07	17	-4	21	13.6	16.1	-2.53	15.2	12.9	2.29
Jermaine O'Neal	55	55	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-9	31	12.7	15.6	-2.83	15.4	14.0	1.34
Jamaal Tinsley	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-2	17	14.2	13.5	0.75	14.5	15.6	-1.16
Metta World Peace	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-1	15	13.7	15.2	-1.48	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Al Harrington	78	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.03	13	0	13	14.0	14.0	0.08	14.9	14.3	0.62
Jonathan Bender	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	15	-17	15.3	13.1	2.20	14.9	14.7	0.17
Erick Strickland	13	13	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	8	-3	11.2	14.4	-3.29	16.2	14.6	1.67
Primoz Brezec	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	14	-15	16.0	13.9	2.13	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Ron Mercer	37	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	19	-25	15.2	13.3	1.86	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Jeff Foster	33	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.18	-12	25	-37	15.3	13.4	1.87	13.1	15.6	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 99, NJN 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SAC 82, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	94.9%
SAS 104, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%