NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	4.8 [892]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +19.8%
Denver Nuggets	104		Comeback	1.2 [1088]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -10.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.22	0.00	0.07	9	105%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Deyonta Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	15	44%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	0%	-0.07
Mario Chalmers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.02	0.03	11	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	-0.01	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.07	-0.03	17	70%	0.25	5	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	17	44%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	3	78%	0.03	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.04
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	16	44%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.7	28.2	14.8	26.0	1.8	33.2	133.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +26.8%

MEM -4.5%

DEN +23.2%

DEN +7.9%

MEM -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	14.7	95.8	107.2	107.5
season	15.4	14.7		103.4	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	14.4	15.0	16.1	15.6
DEN	11.3	12.8	15.0	19.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Martin	33	32	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-17	22	15.5	15.6	-0.01	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Tyreke Evans	57	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-17	22	14.9	16.5	-1.53	15.1	13.0	2.14
Ben McLemore	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-10	8	15.9	15.2	0.72	13.8	14.7	-0.93
Marc Gasol	75	78	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-11	10	15.1	17.1	-2.04	14.6	13.3	1.29
Dillon Brooks	69	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-6	0	15.4	15.9	-0.52	14.8	13.0	1.80
Deyonta Davis	29	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	0	-12	15.5	15.6	-0.10	12.4	15.0	-2.67
Chandler Parsons	50	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-1	-10	16.4	14.7	1.69	13.4	15.3	-1.86
JaMychal Green	63	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	5	-22	15.6	15.5	0.01	14.5	14.0	0.49
Mario Chalmers	59	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.05	-21	9	-30	15.9	14.9	1.03	14.6	13.9	0.66

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	76	74	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.10	21	-9	30	14.3	14.2	0.14	16.3	13.1	3.19
Jamal Murray	73	72	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.16	18	-6	24	14.6	13.4	1.17	16.2	13.7	2.46
Nikola Jokic	71	71	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.17	17	-5	22	14.6	13.5	1.09	16.2	13.7	2.53
Juan Hernangomez	33	32	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	0	12	17.4	12.7	4.69	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Kenneth Faried	63	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	1	10	14.7	13.6	1.00	15.6	15.5	0.13
Trey Lyles	34	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	11	-10	13.6	14.7	-1.00	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Malik Beasley	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	12	-12	0.0	14.3	-14.30	1.0	15.7	-14.71
Wilson Chandler	50	48	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	18	-24	13.2	15.5	-2.31	15.2	15.9	-0.77
Will Barton	35	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	15	-18	12.9	15.1	-2.17	15.0	15.9	-0.85
Mason Plumlee	26	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	17	-22	13.5	14.6	-1.09	13.7	16.2	-2.53
Emmanuel Mudiay	24	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	18	-24	13.4	14.6	-1.17	13.7	16.2	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 85, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SAS 104, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
NYK 98, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%