inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement5.5 [750] MVPRay Allen (SEA): +25.5%
Seattle SuperSonics 110 Comeback1.0 [1091] LVPAndrea Bargnani (TOR): -9.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
T.J. Ford0.120,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.120.040.07-0.011665%0.225-0.10580%0.00
Kris Humphries0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.022100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Fred Jones0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.08-0.020.041263%0.082-0.06683%0.01
Jorge Garbajosa0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.001753%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Darrick Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
PJ Tucker0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joey Graham-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.030.021060%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Parker-0.020,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01729%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00650%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.02719%-0.1000.00250%-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.140.08-0.031578%0.314-0.06683%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.040.01965%0.121-0.015100%0.03
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.01-0.01875%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.020.01667%0.061-0.05367%-0.01
Chris Wilcox0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.02-0.021243%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.01371%0.021-0.021100%0.00
Mickael Gelabale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00743%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.00450%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.011847%0.023-0.072100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.51.730.014.826.72.032.3130.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +33.8%
SEA +2.0%
SEA +7.2%
SEA +4.1%
SEA +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORSEANBATORSEANBA
this game14.814.715.499.0113.4104.5
season15.215.4104.7105.5
opponent15.415.4108.3104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.517.014.713.214.8
SEA13.214.314.716.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrea Bargnani36360.07-0.570.640.13-2-11913.015.9-2.8714.914.60.27
PJ Tucker440.05-0.550.60-0.043-161913.214.9-1.6312.514.8-2.32
Darrick Martin22-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-131313.514.8-1.3416.014.71.31
Kris Humphries1213-0.02-0.480.47-0.072-151718.014.43.6315.814.51.30
Jose Calderon4543-0.04-0.460.43-0.278-212915.913.91.9415.913.82.13
Morris Peterson2120-0.05-0.450.41-0.081-141513.715.1-1.4014.814.70.10
Joey Graham2828-0.19-0.310.120.11-10-3-716.514.22.3112.215.7-3.47
Fred Jones7070-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.26-4-9514.216.3-2.1115.512.72.85
Anthony Parker4747-0.41-0.09-0.330.23-229-3115.014.70.3114.115.3-1.28
T.J. Ford7979-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.08-12-1-1114.416.4-1.9914.615.4-0.89
Jorge Garbajosa8886-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.09-130-1315.112.62.4715.012.72.25
Rasho Nesterovic5857-0.630.13-0.76-0.16-163-1915.014.60.3714.215.5-1.32

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Wilcox70700.63-0.130.750.0719-62515.113.81.3114.715.1-0.41
Luke Ridnour77780.53-0.030.55-0.0921-82913.619.0-5.3914.516.1-1.68
Earl Watson53530.420.080.350.1694514.914.50.4115.913.62.29
Danny Fortson30280.330.170.16-0.0814-11514.015.0-1.0416.414.22.16
Ray Allen82820.300.200.100.00103715.013.31.6414.616.1-1.56
Nick Collison46480.230.27-0.040.1149-515.314.21.1114.215.4-1.19
Mickael Gelabale54560.220.28-0.060.22013-1315.314.01.3814.814.80.05
Damien Wilkins27260.030.47-0.440.06-114-1515.114.60.5414.514.9-0.38
Johan Petro4649-0.180.68-0.860.14-1124-3514.315.1-0.7914.715.0-0.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 104, NYK 1110.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.83,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,194.3%
OKC 93, MIN 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,194.2%
CHH 79, NYK 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,193.9%