inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 93 Excitement5.4 [713] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +21.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves 99 Comeback1.0 [628] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -28.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.220.150.06-0.002166%0.263-0.048100%0.04
Serge Ibaka0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.001350%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.010.02943%-0.0100.00367%-0.01
Nick Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00275%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00633%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.280,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.17-0.090.032843%-0.068-0.221385%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.050.10-0.071362%0.232-0.02333%-0.01
Nikola Pekovic0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.01-0.011860%0.162-0.044100%0.02
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.020.032058%0.121-0.03875%0.01
Alexey Shved0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.03-0.031060%0.091-0.0000%0.00
Greg Stiemsma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01233%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.01440%-0.021-0.032100%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.0230%-0.061-0.0000%0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.0130%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.14-0.02-0.031037%0.045-0.16475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.831.018.325.02.840.5146.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +35.8%
OKC -1.4%
MIN +10.3%
MIN +4.3%
MIN +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMINNBAOKCMINNBA
this game13.716.715.498.9104.2104.1
season14.815.6109.3101.3
opponent14.915.5103.4100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.414.012.813.613.7
MIN16.314.317.819.116.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Maynor980.01-0.510.51-0.021-7816.413.43.0214.517.0-2.45
Hasheem Thabeet78-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-6617.713.44.3217.916.61.23
Kendrick Perkins4041-0.13-0.370.25-0.01-4-2-214.013.50.5015.517.7-2.17
Nick Collison3636-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-4214.113.50.6516.916.70.23
Reggie Jackson4546-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.341-7814.013.50.5117.915.62.30
Serge Ibaka8080-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.22-71-813.216.9-3.6916.418.7-2.36
Thabo Sefolosha8787-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.28-60-613.713.7-0.0016.717.5-0.82
Russell Westbrook8687-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.31-60-613.219.0-5.7816.915.61.23
Kevin Durant8082-0.500.00-0.51-0.30-71-813.714.0-0.3417.114.72.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Pekovic74730.63-0.130.760.2812-61817.414.52.9213.514.5-0.98
Andrei Kirilenko76770.450.050.390.189-31217.314.52.7813.913.00.87
Alexey Shved68660.320.180.140.1560616.517.3-0.7713.214.9-1.73
Luke Ridnour49480.310.190.12-0.0111-51615.118.5-3.3614.013.40.59
Jose Juan Barea45430.270.230.030.35-39-1217.416.21.1613.813.70.10
Kevin Love80790.190.31-0.120.1324-216.816.60.1813.315.7-2.40
Ricky Rubio34350.180.32-0.140.1806-617.416.41.0813.713.70.05
Dante Cunningham30300.160.34-0.190.24-39-1215.917.1-1.1914.013.60.47
Greg Stiemsma1090.020.48-0.460.05-17-816.716.8-0.0516.313.42.90
Derrick Williams910-0.020.52-0.550.06-39-1214.117.0-2.9115.513.52.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 94, PHX 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.99,194.2%
TOR 97, SEA 1100.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,194.2%
IND 89, NYK 970.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,194.1%