NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	5.9 [626]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): +10.8%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.1 [1201]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -15.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Gatling	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	47%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Trajan Langdon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04
Wesley Person	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.08
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Lamond Murray	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	14	36%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	18	51%	-0.03	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	10	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	26	54%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.02	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	19	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	52%	-0.01	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	12	39%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	30.5	15.4	25.5	2.5	30.5	131.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.8%

PHX +5.1%

CLE -1.3%

PHX +15.7%

CLE -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	15.9	15.5	100.0	108.4	100.9
season	15.3	14.9		98.4	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		96.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	13.4	14.6	15.5	14.6
PHX	15.0	15.9	15.4	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	14	14	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-12	15	16.1	14.3	1.73	18.7	15.4	3.33
Bimbo Coles	5	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-8	7	17.2	14.4	2.75	13.7	16.0	-2.36
Trajan Langdon	33	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-13	17	14.8	14.5	0.30	16.3	15.6	0.70
Anthony Johnson	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-10	11	15.2	14.6	0.61	16.5	15.8	0.67
Lamond Murray	64	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-19	29	13.9	16.0	-2.11	16.6	14.5	2.12
Chris Gatling	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-15	21	13.8	16.0	-2.24	16.2	15.4	0.80
Clar. Weatherspoon	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-10	11	14.3	15.0	-0.79	15.6	16.2	-0.56
Wesley Person	30	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	8	-25	16.0	13.9	2.11	14.6	16.5	-1.82
Chris Mihm	35	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	6	-21	16.0	13.8	2.24	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Andre Miller	83	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	0	-9	14.4	16.1	-1.69	16.0	15.1	0.90
Matt Harpring	63	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	6	-21	14.3	15.2	-0.89	15.4	16.8	-1.34

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	81	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-6	21	15.7	16.9	-1.24	14.9	12.3	2.63
Clifford Robinson	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-4	17	15.7	16.5	-0.84	15.0	13.5	1.53
Tom Gugliotta	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	3	3	16.3	15.0	1.36	14.8	14.3	0.48
Tony Delk	73	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	3	3	15.2	18.0	-2.71	14.3	15.4	-1.06
Rodney Rogers	73	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	0	9	16.0	15.5	0.49	14.1	16.5	-2.42
Mario Elie	39	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	1	7	16.7	15.3	1.35	15.7	13.8	1.96
Jake Tsakalidis	11	12	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	4	1	15.7	15.9	-0.17	16.2	14.4	1.80
Shawn Marion	7	6	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	6	-3	15.4	15.9	-0.48	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Chris Dudley	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	12	-15	15.1	16.1	-0.92	14.6	14.6	0.01
Elliot Perry	17	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	16	-23	18.5	15.3	3.16	13.0	14.9	-1.90
Vinny Del Negro	20	18	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.18	-10	19	-29	15.0	16.1	-1.11	12.4	15.1	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.2%
UTA 92, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
LAL 81, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%