NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	124		Excitement	10.3 [68]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +39.5%
Atlanta Hawks	129		Comeback	22.4 [44]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (MIA): -13.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	8	64%	0.14	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Bam Adebayo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.16,0.24,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	20	54%	0.34	3	-0.21	12	83%	-0.02
Kendrick Nunn	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	7	47%	0.10	1	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.09	0.08	-0.16	0.02	9	73%	0.16	3	-0.25	8	100%	0.04
Jimmy Butler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	18	40%	-0.08	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.53,0.34,0.4	0.40	0.25	0.16	0.02	25	72%	0.58	7	-0.18	19	95%	0.13
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.37	0.37	0.10	0.27	-0.00	12	71%	0.41	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	0.00	12	59%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	92%	0.15	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	16	53%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	9	60%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	29.6	15.4	32.3	1.8	36.1	145.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +47.1%

ATL +13.7%

MIA -36.9%

ATL +27.6%

MIA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	ATL	NBA	MIA	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	12.5	14.2	112.7	117.3	109.6
season	14.7	13.8		111.7	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.5		113.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.2	14.6	14.1	12.9	13.7
ATL	12.0	12.1	12.0	13.7	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Nunn	50	52	0.47	-0.97	1.45	0.15	11	-16	27	13.4	14.0	-0.56	13.7	11.3	2.35
Duncan Robinson	79	77	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.12	9	-14	23	13.7	13.7	0.02	12.5	12.4	0.04
Derrick Jones Jr.	29	31	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-6	7	15.0	13.3	1.78	11.3	12.9	-1.58
Bam Adebayo	81	82	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.38	14	-19	33	13.1	15.6	-2.52	13.2	10.4	2.77
Jimmy Butler	77	77	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.48	14	-19	33	13.3	14.7	-1.43	13.2	10.7	2.47
Solomon Hill	33	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-3	1	12.5	14.3	-1.82	11.8	12.8	-0.96
Kelly Olynyk	29	27	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	12	-29	15.6	13.1	2.52	10.6	13.0	-2.42
Jae Crowder	52	53	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.45	-10	5	-15	13.8	13.7	0.12	12.6	12.3	0.25
Goran Dragic	66	62	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.55	-12	7	-19	13.9	13.5	0.34	11.6	13.6	-2.04
Andre Iguodala	54	53	-1.23	0.73	-1.96	-0.26	-33	28	-61	14.5	13.0	1.45	12.0	12.9	-0.88

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Andre Hunter	66	70	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.34	26	-21	47	12.3	12.7	-0.49	14.3	12.8	1.46
Trae Young	91	91	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.50	10	-5	15	12.6	11.7	0.93	13.6	14.5	-0.90
John Collins	69	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	0	5	12.8	12.0	0.80	13.5	14.1	-0.54
Kevin Huerter	90	89	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	7	-9	13.1	9.3	3.79	13.7	14.0	-0.40
Cam Reddish	88	86	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	9	-13	12.3	13.0	-0.74	13.1	16.1	-3.07
Dewayne Dedmon	43	44	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	0	5	12.5	12.4	0.13	15.3	12.7	2.58
Brandon Goodwin	13	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	4	-3	9.9	12.8	-2.87	13.3	13.8	-0.44
Vince Carter	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	9	-13	10.2	12.7	-2.53	12.9	13.8	-0.91
Jeff Teague	57	56	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	9	-13	12.6	12.3	0.22	14.0	13.4	0.56
Bruno Fernando	22	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	13	-21	11.4	12.7	-1.31	13.0	13.9	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.48,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.47,0.22,0.34,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.23,0.26,1	89.9%
SAC 92, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.24,0.42,1	89.3%
LAC 90, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.42,1	89.2%