NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	106		Excitement	9.5 [122]		MVP	Domantas Sabonis (IND): +59.1%
Indiana Pacers	105		Comeback	21.2 [51]		LVP	Malcolm Brogdon (IND): -25.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.42	0.05	0.37	0.00	12	58%	0.45	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,0,0,0.05,0.39	-0.01	0.42	0.02	15	47%	0.44	2	-0.05	15	87%	0.07
DeAndre Jordan	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.08	0.02	15	44%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.08	0.01	13	38%	-0.02	6	-0.22	3	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.59	0.59	0.17	0.44	0.02	15	74%	0.59	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.00	8	76%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	13	61%	0.18	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	8	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	0.02	14	43%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.1,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	11	27%	-0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	23.6	15.4	28.6	2.4	33.5	131.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +22.9%

BKN +10.0%

BKN +23.5%

IND -18.4%

BKN +12.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	IND	NBA	BKN	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	14.1	14.2	112.8	110.5	109.6
season	14.1	14.4		108.0	108.7
opponent	14.4	14.1		107.4	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.7	18.6	14.4	17.4	16.4
IND	13.1	15.0	14.4	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	60	60	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.57	8	-7	15	16.4	16.4	0.02	15.1	12.3	2.81
Joe Harris	66	65	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.58	7	-6	13	16.1	17.3	-1.23	14.9	12.2	2.77
Spencer Dinwiddie	68	68	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.53	8	-7	15	15.9	17.8	-1.86	14.9	12.0	2.83
Caris LeVert	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.53	1	0	1	16.4	16.5	-0.11	13.7	15.0	-1.33
DeAndre Jordan	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	2	-3	16.9	15.8	1.07	13.3	15.2	-1.94
Jarrett Allen	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	-1	3	15.8	16.9	-1.07	15.2	13.3	1.94
Wilson Chandler	31	33	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	7	-13	16.8	16.2	0.57	12.6	14.8	-2.23
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	28	30	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.11	-6	7	-13	17.3	16.1	1.23	12.2	14.9	-2.77
Garrett Temple	57	57	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.15	-8	9	-17	16.9	15.8	1.10	13.3	15.2	-1.87

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	35	36	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.16	11	-12	23	13.0	14.7	-1.73	18.2	15.3	2.87
Jeremy Lamb	53	51	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.26	7	-8	15	13.5	14.8	-1.38	17.0	15.8	1.21
T.J. McConnell	38	38	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.20	8	-9	17	12.4	15.1	-2.69	17.9	15.4	2.47
Domantas Sabonis	74	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-1	1	14.2	13.6	0.63	16.8	15.2	1.59
Myles Turner	46	46	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	5	-11	14.9	13.2	1.69	15.5	17.3	-1.77
Justin Holiday	64	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.58	0	-1	1	13.1	16.0	-2.83	15.3	18.5	-3.20
T.J. Warren	52	53	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.63	-6	5	-11	14.5	13.6	0.88	16.8	16.0	0.75
Malcolm Brogdon	60	60	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.60	-8	7	-15	15.2	12.1	3.04	16.1	16.9	-0.76
Victor Oladipo	53	53	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.62	-11	10	-21	15.1	12.8	2.25	15.2	18.0	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.93,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.98,0.98,0	92.1%
MIN 115, IND 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.77,0.72,0	91.2%
ATL 104, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.84,0.73,0	90.9%