NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Excitement	8.3 [220]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +34.4%
Indiana Pacers	114		Comeback	15.5 [70]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (IND): -12.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34	0.24	0.12	0.02	22	69%	0.38	1	-0.04	10	100%	0.10
Ricky Rubio	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,0.29	-0.00	0.30	0.00	12	57%	0.53	5	-0.23	13	100%	0.29
Brandon Rush	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	90%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	13	68%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	17	45%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.26	0.04	0.02	21	73%	0.32	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.05
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.00	-0.01	12	61%	0.13	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.08	-0.00	12	54%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Rakeem Christmas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	15	47%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.13,-0.09	-0.09	0.09	-0.18	-0.00	11	73%	0.03	2	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	33.2	15.4	26.7	2.3	43.3	146.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +13.3%

MIN +55.5%

IND -16.1%

IND -6.2%

MIN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	14.8	121.1	120.0	107.7
season	15.3	14.9		109.3	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.7		108.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	14.3	16.5	17.3	16.0
IND	14.4	12.9	13.5	17.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	81	81	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.57	5	-4	9	15.8	17.1	-1.33	14.7	12.3	2.37
Ricky Rubio	75	75	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.54	4	-3	7	16.3	14.7	1.60	14.1	14.9	-0.75
Andrew Wiggins	75	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.55	2	-1	3	16.3	14.7	1.60	14.2	14.8	-0.61
Gorgui Dieng	87	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	2	-3	16.3	12.4	3.97	14.1	16.0	-1.87
Kris Dunn	52	51	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	-5	11	15.5	16.6	-1.09	14.5	14.1	0.36
Brandon Rush	36	37	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	5	-9	16.6	15.6	1.01	14.4	14.3	0.12
Shabazz Muhammad	20	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	2	-3	14.7	16.3	-1.60	14.8	14.2	0.61
Tyus Jones	27	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	5	-9	15.2	16.3	-1.15	14.3	14.3	0.04
Omri Casspi	22	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.16	-2	3	-5	15.4	16.2	-0.78	13.7	14.5	-0.75

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	31	32	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.28	1	-2	3	14.1	14.4	-0.36	15.1	16.5	-1.43
CJ Miles	38	39	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.08	6	-7	13	13.8	14.6	-0.82	15.8	16.1	-0.32
Rakeem Christmas	22	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.18	-4	3	-7	14.3	14.3	0.02	14.7	16.5	-1.74
Aaron Brooks	19	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	9	-19	15.0	14.1	0.87	13.6	16.6	-2.99
Jeff Teague	84	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.58	6	-7	13	14.0	16.8	-2.84	16.1	15.5	0.64
Myles Turner	73	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.65	3	-4	7	14.3	14.3	-0.02	16.5	14.7	1.74
Thaddeus Young	64	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.51	-2	1	-3	14.4	14.1	0.36	16.5	15.1	1.43
Paul George	78	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.54	-3	2	-5	14.2	14.9	-0.77	16.3	14.9	1.32
Monta Ellis	66	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.73	-2	1	-3	15.0	12.8	2.18	16.4	15.0	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.77,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.74,0	92.0%
DAL 95, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.76,0.68,0.86,0.8,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.85,0	89.7%
SAS 102, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.97,0.98,0.9,0.91,0.91,0	89.4%