NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	7.6 [339]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +31.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	92		Comeback	30.4 [22]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -20.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,0.31	-0.07	0.37	-0.01	8	33%	0.34	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	23	61%	0.19	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.02
Devin Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
Michael Finley	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	21	48%	-0.01	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	4	10%	-0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	12	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	10	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.11	-0.00	13	52%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.01	16	53%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	42%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	17	28%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	27.2	14.8	26.2	2.5	38.4	135.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +69.9%

DAL +7.1%

SEA -0.9%

SEA -19.4%

SEA -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.5	17.0	15.5	103.3	101.1	104.0
season	14.9	16.5		108.2	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.5		107.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.5	13.4	17.8	13.8	14.5
SEA	17.8	16.6	19.2	15.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	71	71	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.36	15	-12	27	14.0	16.1	-2.14	16.5	18.6	-2.11
Dirk Nowitzki	76	75	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-5	13	14.3	15.3	-1.00	16.9	17.7	-0.83
Erick Dampier	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-7	17	14.4	14.9	-0.54	17.1	16.8	0.27
Michael Finley	85	83	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	14.8	11.0	3.78	17.2	15.1	2.06
Josh Howard	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.47	-1	4	-5	15.8	10.2	5.57	17.3	15.9	1.40
Devin Harris	18	17	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	6	-9	13.8	14.6	-0.82	17.6	16.9	0.72
Shawn Bradley	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	0.0	14.6	-14.65	0.0	17.0	-17.00
Calvin Booth	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	4	-5	13.9	14.6	-0.67	18.2	16.9	1.36
Darrell Armstrong	43	42	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.15	-6	9	-15	14.1	14.8	-0.70	16.1	17.7	-1.59
Alan Henderson	15	14	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.05	-11	14	-25	13.8	14.6	-0.82	18.4	16.8	1.60

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	32	35	0.54	-1.04	1.59	0.28	9	-12	21	16.5	17.3	-0.82	14.5	14.5	-0.05
Luke Ridnour	57	58	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.14	-2	-1	-1	16.3	18.2	-1.93	15.8	12.3	3.48
Reggie Evans	47	47	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-4	5	18.1	15.8	2.33	15.0	13.9	1.13
Vitaly Potapenko	16	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	3	-9	16.2	17.2	-0.99	11.2	15.1	-3.93
Vladimir Radmanovic	54	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-9	15	16.8	17.2	-0.41	14.0	15.2	-1.22
Ronald Murray	9	9	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	5	-13	15.4	17.2	-1.73	9.7	15.0	-5.35
Antonio Daniels	61	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	16.6	17.9	-1.34	13.2	17.1	-3.87
Jerome James	38	36	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.57	-2	-1	-1	18.0	16.3	1.67	16.5	13.2	3.30
Rashard Lewis	68	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.59	-2	-1	-1	16.6	18.0	-1.40	15.5	11.3	4.17
Ray Allen	73	73	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.57	-7	4	-11	17.8	13.9	3.81	13.9	16.8	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.76,0.68,0.86,0.8,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.85,0	91.6%
NYK 77, LAC 76	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.25,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.91,0	91.0%
ORL 109, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.98,0.98,0	91.0%