NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	102		Excitement	8.6 [192]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +41.6%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	195.1 [12]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): -26.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.42	0.06	0.35	-0.01	9	72%	0.46	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.26	0.06	0.20	-0.01	8	75%	0.33	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	47%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Tony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.26	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	14	51%	-0.06	7	-0.21	13	85%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Corey Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.19,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.11	-0.00	26	50%	0.17	3	-0.22	10	100%	0.07
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	15	38%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.16	-0.00	14	53%	0.08	4	-0.27	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	29.4	15.5	26.2	2.0	38.0	133.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +84.2%

HOU -33.5%

HOU -27.4%

SAS +18.7%

SAS +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	14.8	104.1	102.0	107.7
season	15.4	13.7		110.1	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.1	14.9	14.8	13.7	15.3
HOU	13.2	15.1	14.0	14.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	48	48	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.52	5	-3	8	15.0	15.6	-0.62	14.1	14.1	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	41	42	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.53	4	-2	6	14.5	15.9	-1.42	14.1	14.1	-0.00
Danny Green	69	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	0	2	15.4	15.0	0.40	13.6	15.1	-1.47
Kawhi Leonard	74	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.51	0	2	-2	15.4	14.9	0.53	13.5	15.8	-2.24
Jonathon Simmons	21	20	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-6	14	14.1	15.6	-1.49	16.3	13.5	2.86
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	74	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.36	-8	10	-18	15.7	14.1	1.58	13.4	16.2	-2.83
Dewayne Dedmon	22	21	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	0	2	14.6	15.5	-0.88	16.2	13.5	2.76
Davis Bertans	4	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	2	-2	19.5	15.1	4.36	12.8	14.1	-1.34
Pau Gasol	54	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	2	-2	15.6	14.9	0.74	13.9	14.3	-0.49
David Lee	33	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.12	0	2	-2	15.1	15.4	-0.34	15.6	13.3	2.21
Tony Parker	50	50	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	5	-8	15.6	15.0	0.62	14.1	14.1	0.02

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Dekker	40	39	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.24	6	-8	14	15.8	12.9	2.92	15.9	14.9	1.05
Montrezl Harrell	45	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	3	-8	13.8	14.3	-0.58	15.4	15.2	0.20
Nene	38	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.37	9	-11	20	13.7	14.3	-0.59	15.6	15.2	0.40
Corey Brewer	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	3	-8	18.2	13.6	4.60	15.1	15.3	-0.24
Ryan Anderson	75	78	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	0	-2	14.1	14.0	0.15	15.6	14.4	1.15
Trevor Ariza	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.51	2	-4	6	13.4	16.0	-2.57	15.1	16.0	-0.88
James Harden	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.55	1	-3	4	13.3	16.9	-3.60	15.1	16.0	-0.82
Eric Gordon	68	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	4	-10	14.2	13.7	0.58	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Patrick Beverley	66	66	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.60	-10	8	-18	14.3	13.7	0.62	15.2	15.6	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.97,0.98,0.9,0.91,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, CHA 105	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0	90.5%
PHX 104, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0	90.2%
GSW 118, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.89,0.83,0	90.0%