NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	8.8 [175]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +56.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	20.6 [87]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (GSW): -14.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.57	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.57	0.15	0.45	0.03	18	70%	0.65	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.06
Klay Thompson	0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.23	0.08	0.03	18	79%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	-0.00	-0.00	19	60%	0.17	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
David West	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	1	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	0.00	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.02	29	59%	0.24	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
JR Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.08	0.02	10	73%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.03	0.02	27	65%	0.32	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.04
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	36%	-0.00	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.7	35.3	17.3	30.5	3.4	37.2	155.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.2%

GSW +11.0%

GSW +9.2%

CLE -11.5%

CLE -7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	12.7	15.3	14.8	116.8	107.6	107.7
season	13.5	14.9		114.9	113.5
opponent	14.7	15.1		109.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	12.3	13.7	11.1	12.7
CLE	13.7	13.4	14.0	21.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	69	72	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.37	14	-9	23	12.6	12.7	-0.05	15.9	13.9	1.92
Andre Iguodala	61	63	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-5	15	12.8	12.4	0.34	15.6	14.8	0.75
Stephen Curry	83	87	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-6	17	12.4	13.7	-1.30	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Klay Thompson	87	86	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	2	1	12.2	15.2	-2.97	16.1	11.5	4.62
Kevin Durant	86	90	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	5	-5	12.5	13.5	-1.03	14.9	17.5	-2.58
Patrick McCaw	8	11	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	1	3	14.5	12.5	2.01	12.0	15.6	-3.64
Matt Barnes	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	0.0	12.7	-12.65	5.0	15.4	-10.36
JaVale McGee	15	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	4	-3	14.1	12.4	1.66	16.7	15.0	1.76
Zaza Pachulia	30	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	7	-9	12.6	12.7	-0.12	13.9	15.8	-1.94
James Michael McAdoo	1	0	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	7	-9	0.0	12.8	-12.78	0.0	15.3	-15.26
Shaun Livingston	25	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.11	-2	7	-9	13.7	12.3	1.36	11.6	16.6	-4.98
Ian Clark	18	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	11	-17	13.7	12.4	1.30	16.8	15.0	1.80
David West	22	22	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.03	-6	11	-17	12.5	12.7	-0.25	17.8	14.6	3.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	9	8	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-9	13	14.7	15.3	-0.65	12.5	12.7	-0.17
Richard Jefferson	34	30	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.20	-5	0	-5	12.9	16.4	-3.56	14.2	12.0	2.20
Iman Shumpert	31	25	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-5	5	11.6	16.8	-5.17	14.9	11.9	2.96
Tristan Thompson	54	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	1	-7	14.9	15.6	-0.76	12.4	12.9	-0.55
LeBron James	97	96	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.43	7	-12	19	15.7	10.4	5.28	12.8	9.6	3.21
Kyle Korver	51	50	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-8	11	15.7	14.9	0.83	13.0	12.3	0.69
Kyrie Irving	96	93	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	4	-13	15.3	14.7	0.65	12.7	12.5	0.17
JR Smith	74	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.44	-8	3	-11	16.1	13.2	2.97	11.7	15.1	-3.35
Kevin Love	79	78	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	6	-17	16.4	11.8	4.53	12.0	15.0	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.89,0.83,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0	92.9%
SEA 103, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.73,0	92.5%
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	92.0%