NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	9.5 [99]		MVP	Andre Brown (SEA): +53.9%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	13.8 [66]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -23.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Brown	0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.54	0.04	0.49	0.00	5	64%	0.57	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.17
Ray Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.07	0.13	-0.05	0.01	22	62%	0.14	2	-0.07	9	100%	0.05
Chris Wilcox	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	8	59%	0.07	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Mickael Gelabale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	-0.03	7	86%	0.06	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.11	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.10	0.00	12	44%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.02	16	63%	0.27	3	-0.17	3	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	18	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	7	41%	-0.06	4	-0.09	8	62%	-0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	4	50%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.15	0.02	26	45%	-0.13	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	27.4	15.5	26.3	2.5	32.6	131.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +75.1%

SEA +20.6%

IND -47.5%

SEA +1.2%

SEA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	NBA	SEA	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	16.2	15.4	109.6	108.5	104.5
season	15.4	15.3		105.5	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	14.3	15.5	13.5	14.4
IND	15.8	15.7	15.1	18.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	54	53	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.47	10	-9	19	13.5	15.6	-2.04	17.6	14.5	3.05
Nick Collison	73	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.62	4	-3	7	14.5	14.0	0.46	16.1	16.8	-0.72
Earl Watson	57	55	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-7	15	13.6	15.6	-1.92	17.0	15.2	1.80
Andre Brown	30	30	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-3	7	13.5	14.8	-1.38	18.0	15.4	2.54
Ray Allen	83	82	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.50	-8	9	-17	14.7	12.5	2.11	15.6	20.7	-5.08
Johan Petro	21	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.16	9	-8	17	12.3	15.0	-2.67	17.1	16.0	1.10
Mickael Gelabale	52	54	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	1	-1	14.6	14.1	0.52	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Luke Ridnour	37	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	8	-15	15.6	13.6	1.92	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Chris Wilcox	63	63	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	0.03	-15	16	-31	15.7	11.9	3.78	15.3	18.2	-2.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maceo Baston	1	0	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-1	1	0.0	16.4	-16.41	0.0	14.4	-14.40
Ike Diogu	47	48	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	3	-7	16.3	16.1	0.21	13.1	15.8	-2.74
Rawle Marshall	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.15	-5	4	-9	17.4	15.7	1.66	12.0	15.5	-3.48
David Harrison	9	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	2	-5	18.0	16.0	1.95	12.0	14.7	-2.72
Mike Dunleavy	64	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	2	-5	15.7	17.4	-1.71	14.9	13.4	1.57
Danny Granger	74	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.54	8	-9	17	16.0	17.1	-1.10	14.9	12.6	2.29
Troy Murphy	71	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.56	3	-4	7	15.9	17.3	-1.47	15.2	11.9	3.36
Jamaal Tinsley	71	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.62	4	-5	9	15.7	17.8	-2.11	15.1	12.5	2.62
Jeff Foster	60	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.59	2	-3	5	16.6	15.6	0.97	15.0	13.5	1.47
Darrell Armstrong	43	45	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.39	-7	6	-13	17.5	15.2	2.35	13.4	15.3	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 118, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.89,0.83,0	92.5%
ATL 83, IND 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.83,0	92.0%
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	90.8%