NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	9.0 [139]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +40.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	42.1 [15]		LVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): -23.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.41	0.05	0.36	0.00	12	54%	0.41	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	17	63%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.05	-0.01	20	54%	0.18	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	10	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.09
PJ Tucker	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	21%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.11	-0.00	10	62%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	16	46%	0.19	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.04
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	20	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	6	44%	0.01	2	-0.19	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.24	-0.24	-0.00	-0.24	-0.00	16	53%	-0.16	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.7	37.2	17.4	23.5	3.3	42.3	153.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +59.0%

MIN -21.9%

MIN -0.1%

PHX +10.4%

PHX +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	15.1	104.0	104.0	105.2
season	14.7	14.6		107.7	107.3
opponent	14.5	14.9		104.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	14.4	15.9	14.7	14.6
MIN	15.9	13.8	12.9	14.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	33	33	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.70	6	-5	11	14.8	14.6	0.22	14.8	14.0	0.82
PJ Tucker	62	63	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.60	8	-7	15	13.8	16.1	-2.28	13.7	15.4	-1.66
Channing Frye	76	75	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.48	7	-6	13	14.3	15.7	-1.46	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Gerald Green	50	51	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.58	-1	2	-3	14.6	14.6	0.00	14.6	14.0	0.67
Goran Dragic	87	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	-1	3	14.1	18.4	-4.30	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Leandro Barbosa	28	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.15	2	-1	3	15.1	14.5	0.65	15.2	14.0	1.26
Marcus Morris	49	49	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.16	0	1	-1	15.2	14.1	1.19	14.6	14.0	0.61
Ish Smith	24	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	11	-21	17.1	13.9	3.27	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Alex Len	25	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.09	-5	6	-11	17.2	13.8	3.36	13.7	14.5	-0.80
Miles Plumlee	66	67	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.18	-4	5	-9	14.0	15.9	-1.84	14.5	13.8	0.68

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	23	21	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.07	3	-4	7	15.3	14.0	1.36	14.5	14.7	-0.15
Ronny Turiaf	28	30	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-6	11	14.6	14.2	0.37	16.4	13.9	2.51
Alexey Shved	25	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-3	5	15.8	13.8	1.95	17.3	13.7	3.59
Chase Budinger	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	2	-5	16.0	13.9	2.13	16.0	14.3	1.72
Jose Juan Barea	23	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	3	-7	15.9	13.8	2.04	17.4	13.7	3.73
Ricky Rubio	76	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-4	7	13.8	15.9	-2.04	13.7	17.4	-3.73
Corey Brewer	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.46	2	-3	5	13.9	16.0	-2.13	14.3	16.0	-1.72
Kevin Martin	74	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	2	-5	13.8	15.8	-1.95	13.7	17.3	-3.59
Nikola Pekovic	71	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	5	-11	14.2	14.6	-0.37	13.9	16.4	-2.51
Kevin Love	76	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.54	-4	3	-7	14.0	15.3	-1.36	14.7	14.5	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 118, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.89,0.83,0	92.9%
BOS 90, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.73,0	90.9%
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	90.3%