inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 123 Excitement9.8 [99] MVPAndre Drummond (DET): +30.8%
Detroit Pistons 128 Comeback4.8 [187] LVPGary Harris (DEN): -16.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monte Morris0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.20.110.08-0.011561%0.2000.001100%0.00
Malik Beasley0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.04-0.00967%0.1200.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.080.24-0.150.012374%0.132-0.05786%-0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0.040,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01371%0.0400.0010%-0.01
Jerami Grant0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.020.04-0.000.031158%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Juancho Hernangomez-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01325%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
PJ Dozier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.01-0.02731%0.022-0.08250%-0.01
Will Barton-0.080,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.04-0.120.001751%-0.041-0.04580%0.05
Gary Harris-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.10-0.07-0.00621%-0.112-0.06250%-0.04

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.310.030.21-0.071755%0.312-0.00475%0.01
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.170.170.170.030.031086%0.1700.002100%0.01
Langston Galloway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.080.00667%0.1300.0000%0.00
Thon Maker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.090.090.020.07-0.012100%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Christian Wood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.04-0.011055%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Sekou Doumbouya0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.07-0.050.031261%0.052-0.07475%-0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.06-0.01950%0.071-0.09875%-0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.02325%-0.011-0.0220%-0.02
Tony Snell0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08-0.080.07-0.120.03781%0.032-0.102100%0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.06-0.14-0.001853%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.52.325.114.630.42.429.42.415.3147.5
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +53.0%
DEN -7.7%
DET +16.2%
DEN -11.7%
DET +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDETNBADENDETNBA
this game15.315.614.2119.4124.3109.6
season15.015.1112.0108.3
opponent14.214.5111.7110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.014.216.816.315.215.3
DET14.815.213.719.714.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Torrey Craig3735-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-6715.515.20.3115.315.8-0.45
Jarred Vanderbilt912-0.06-0.440.370.05-4-1-314.715.3-0.6514.715.7-1.07
Malik Beasley4949-0.08-0.420.350.01-3-2-114.416.1-1.7115.515.7-0.27
Nikola Jokic7475-0.16-0.340.19-0.5413-183115.714.21.4716.214.12.12
Will Barton7069-0.21-0.290.09-0.355-101515.913.82.1215.316.2-0.89
PJ Dozier2730-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-72-913.615.9-2.3115.015.9-0.91
Juancho Hernangomez2425-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-127-1915.015.3-0.3414.715.9-1.18
Monte Morris7573-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.472-7916.113.12.9115.915.00.91
Jerami Grant8985-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.38-3-2-115.315.10.1415.914.11.82
Gary Harris6162-0.610.11-0.72-0.11-1712-2914.516.3-1.8115.615.60.04

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Snell75720.90-0.401.300.7841316.114.21.8714.816.3-1.47
Reggie Jackson64660.71-0.210.930.1619-143315.016.6-1.5716.013.92.14
Bruce Brown73720.56-0.060.610.1215-102515.914.81.1015.215.5-0.36
Svi Mykhailiuk68700.290.210.080.35-27-915.316.2-0.8915.115.5-0.42
Andre Drummond56560.290.210.080.32-16-717.013.93.0815.614.90.72
Thon Maker14140.200.30-0.090.0941313.216.0-2.7713.915.5-1.63
Christian Wood33330.010.49-0.49-0.0523-114.216.3-2.0115.315.20.06
Derrick Rose2826-0.030.53-0.560.09-49-1316.115.40.6313.515.9-2.36
Langston Galloway3838-0.110.61-0.72-0.1105-514.716.2-1.5115.914.91.09
Sekou Doumbouya6668-0.330.83-1.150.03-1217-2915.915.10.8715.514.70.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.64,0.94,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 107, IND 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.47,0.61,0.71,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.78,0.95,188.5%
DAL 86, SEA 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,186.7%
LAL 104, HOU 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.56,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.78,0.96,186.3%