inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 104 Excitement10.2 [55] MVPCuttino Mobley (HOU): +31.6%
Houston Rockets 108 Comeback20.6 [46] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -24.5%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.11,0.10.020.08-0.002653%0.172-0.08683%0.01
Derek Fisher0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.001254%0.0700.002100%0.01
Samaki Walker0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.03-0.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kareem Rush0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.02-0.00862%0.091-0.0800%0.00
Brian Shaw0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rick Fox-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.070.021159%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00550%0.001-0.032100%0.03
Devean George-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.01933%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.250,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25-0.17-0.060.012141%-0.134-0.111283%0.07

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.26,0.27,0.320.320.060.25-0.011766%0.363-0.0410100%0.11
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.11,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.240.240.090.160.012175%0.647-0.401782%0.02
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.03-0.00367%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00756%0.042-0.062100%0.02
Terence Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.040.011436%-0.081-0.0400%0.00
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.030.01533%-0.052-0.062100%0.02
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.04-0.16-0.00633%-0.071-0.1300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.52.729.317.831.12.735.32.024.8171.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +66.0%
HOU +30.0%
HOU +0.1%
LAL -48.7%
HOU +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALHOUNBALALHOUNBA
this game16.115.715.5103.0109.1101.6
season15.416.3105.0101.7
opponent15.415.1100.4102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL14.218.717.316.512.816.1
HOU14.017.314.817.015.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher57560.33-0.831.160.0111-152615.417.1-1.7515.815.50.36
Devean George39370.14-0.640.78-0.046-101616.815.71.0916.115.40.66
Brian Shaw98-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-2015.116.2-1.1216.115.60.50
Samaki Walker3537-0.12-0.380.270.18-106-1618.914.74.2214.716.3-1.58
Robert Horry7673-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.516-101615.518.1-2.5915.815.20.70
Shaquille O'Neal9188-0.550.05-0.60-0.43-40-415.620.9-5.3015.913.52.39
Kobe Bryant9592-0.620.12-0.73-0.38-84-1216.116.8-0.7515.419.1-3.74
Rick Fox6061-0.620.12-0.75-0.33-106-1616.116.2-0.0715.715.70.01
Kareem Rush4343-0.670.17-0.85-0.41-95-1416.915.61.3115.615.7-0.15

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yao Ming69720.55-0.050.590.405-1615.815.30.5716.116.1-0.01
Maurice Taylor52540.52-0.020.540.375-1617.213.93.2916.515.70.84
Cuttino Mobley94960.51-0.010.520.3940415.519.0-3.5116.117.4-1.34
Steve Francis92940.460.040.410.4022015.714.90.8715.722.1-6.46
Terence Morris12120.030.47-0.43-0.0222016.615.51.0420.215.64.58
Moochie Norris12120.030.47-0.43-0.0222016.615.51.0420.215.64.58
Eddie Griffin4747-0.020.52-0.540.01-15-613.917.2-3.2915.716.5-0.84
James Posey7778-0.030.53-0.570.02-26-815.516.3-0.7816.016.7-0.68
Kelvin Cato3029-0.050.55-0.59-0.02-15-615.315.8-0.5716.116.10.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.56,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.78,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 99, MIN 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.65,0.61,0.85,0.89,0.8,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.77,0.96,188.7%
TOR 101, CHH 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.99,188.7%
MIA 107, IND 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.47,0.61,0.71,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.78,0.95,188.7%