inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 101 Excitement9.4 [87] MVPEddie Jones (CHH): +37.2%
Charlotte Hornets 110 Comeback1.7 [649] LVPElden Campbell (CHH): -40.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Willis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.09-0.010.00787%0.141-0.052100%0.01
Dee Brown0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00667%0.0600.0000%0.00
Charles Oakley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.020.002117%0.072-0.06250%-0.04
Muggsy Bogues-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.020.00367%0.041-0.0500%0.00
Dell Curry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.040,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.021146%-0.002-0.04250%-0.01
Vince Carter-0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22-0.06-0.19-0.033047%-0.153-0.06667%-0.03
Doug Christie-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.03,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22-0.05-0.18-0.00650%0.032-0.254100%0.11
Tracy McGrady-0.350,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35-0.18-0.19-0.022036%-0.114-0.24580%-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.370.370.160.18-0.041874%0.502-0.13786%0.03
David Wesley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.15,0.150.150.070.080.001460%0.1500.002100%0.00
Todd Fuller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01458%0.0400.00475%0.01
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01956%0.103-0.1200%0.00
Eddie Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.05-0.130.021763%0.072-0.1715100%0.16
Baron Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.07-0.10-0.00540%-0.033-0.1400%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4-0.40-0.14-0.250.011133%-0.134-0.272100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.22.528.519.424.42.538.72.518.4159.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +42.5%
CHH +19.3%
TOR -20.6%
TOR -0.9%
CHH +9.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHHNBATORCHHNBA
this game15.615.815.2100.0107.8101.7
season15.514.9101.8101.5
opponent15.114.999.2102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR15.913.516.215.419.215.6
CHH14.115.918.116.612.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dee Brown32310.40-0.901.30-0.1017-264313.916.3-2.3814.916.2-1.28
Muggsy Bogues35360.34-0.831.17-0.0212-213314.016.4-2.3916.215.50.66
Kevin Willis4748-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-8716.115.10.9315.416.1-0.66
Dell Curry3839-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-5-4-115.315.7-0.4414.416.6-2.19
Doug Christie5153-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.20-5-4-116.115.01.0816.814.72.14
Antonio Davis7170-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.04-156-2116.114.21.9416.015.20.89
Charles Oakley6566-0.570.07-0.65-0.22-123-1515.316.0-0.7216.115.20.88
Tracy McGrady8687-0.630.13-0.76-0.19-156-2115.814.51.2916.014.51.44
Vince Carter8080-0.830.33-1.16-0.22-2112-3315.914.31.5515.417.2-1.81

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elden Campbell76750.81-0.311.130.1423-143716.214.41.8516.413.13.35
Anthony Mason90880.68-0.180.860.1518-92715.815.50.3016.310.85.42
David Wesley98970.64-0.140.790.2912-31515.717.7-2.0715.420.2-4.88
Eddie Jones97950.440.060.370.2663315.717.2-1.5115.516.2-0.64
Chucky Brown58570.250.25-0.010.0472515.815.70.1515.715.40.28
Todd Fuller2324-0.260.76-1.010.10-1221-3313.716.4-2.7313.116.3-3.20
Baron Davis3536-0.260.76-1.02-0.06-716-2316.715.31.4914.816.0-1.18
Eddie Robinson2324-0.300.80-1.100.02-1120-3116.515.50.9813.216.3-3.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 106, DET 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.84,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.98,190.6%
SAS 107, NYK 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.77,0.98,190.5%
ORL 102, MEM 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.69,0.82,189.9%