inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 107 Excitement10.3 [53] MVPThaddeus Young (IND): +28.7%
Indiana Pacers 113 Comeback4.6 [337] LVPVictor Oladipo (IND): -34.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0.170,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.190.010.041095%0.1700.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11-0.020.12-0.02950%0.152-0.032100%0.01
James Johnson0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.050.01962%0.214-0.17650%-0.14
Justise Winslow0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00750%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.020.00778%0.093-0.064100%0.02
Goran Dragic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.050.00950%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00944%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.110.01-0.100.021350%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.09-0.240.011343%-0.114-0.222100%0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.100.18-0.001663%0.321-0.04367%-0.01
Darren Collison0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.150.150.040.120.001060%0.201-0.0500%0.00
Glenn Robinson III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.040.003133%0.1400.0000%0.00
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.01475%0.0700.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00756%0.061-0.04250%-0.01
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00944%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.120.02-0.110.031264%0.084-0.194100%0.01
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.33-0.09-0.230.01832%-0.202-0.12683%-0.05
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.12,-0.37,-0.37,-0.44,-0.44,-0.35,-0.35-0.35-0.07-0.270.012148%-0.015-0.34683%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.22.025.90.226.32.432.22.613.2128.1
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +8.1%
IND +13.0%
IND +55.5%
MIA -22.3%
MIA -4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game14.315.814.7101.9106.6107.5
season15.114.8105.4108.3
opponent15.014.6106.7105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA13.715.514.513.115.714.3
IND15.815.814.316.917.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Johnson56560.33-0.831.170.0111-172814.314.30.0416.914.62.25
Bam Adebayo4241-0.00-0.500.490.05-2-4215.113.71.4015.416.1-0.68
Justise Winslow4039-0.04-0.460.430.26-104-1414.214.4-0.1714.516.6-2.08
Wayne Ellington5556-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-126-1814.414.20.2415.316.4-1.15
James Johnson6566-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-5414.414.20.1716.714.42.34
Goran Dragic6971-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.452-81014.414.10.3816.614.22.39
Josh Richardson8181-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.33-5-1-414.015.4-1.3915.417.1-1.64
Kelly Olynyk6366-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.46-1-5413.715.1-1.4016.015.60.41
Dwyane Wade5454-0.750.25-0.99-0.39-126-1814.514.10.3614.816.9-2.03

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thaddeus Young71690.58-0.080.650.5224-216.314.91.4514.514.00.46
Myles Turner59610.53-0.030.570.308-21016.614.91.7215.013.31.70
Darren Collison57580.380.120.260.47-39-1217.114.42.6414.314.30.09
Bojan Bogdanovic76760.350.150.200.2924-215.616.5-0.8914.114.9-0.87
Victor Oladipo77760.340.160.180.40-28-1016.913.13.7514.314.3-0.06
Glenn Robinson III33330.270.230.05-0.0511-51613.616.8-3.1913.514.7-1.11
Lance Stephenson46450.190.31-0.13-0.058-21014.516.9-2.4314.514.20.28
Cory Joseph64620.080.42-0.33-0.158-21014.917.3-2.3714.314.30.04
Trevor Booker4745-0.220.72-0.95-0.11-410-1415.616.1-0.5013.814.6-0.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.47,0.61,0.71,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.78,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 104, HOU 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.56,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.78,0.96,188.7%
WAS 105, ATL 1170.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.32,0.16,0.46,0.67,0.63,0.91,1,187.8%
ATL 84, HOU 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.96,187.4%